Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Widzew Łódź (Local): 46.96%; Korona Kielce (Visitante): 24.30%; Empate: 28.74%. Para Korona Kielce (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.11. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.29%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.01%EV -7.02%E -3.54%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV +3.29%E +0.774%K +1.01%G +0.033% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.62%EV -7.76%E -2.42%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.44%EV -0.355%E -0.087%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.51%EV -3.16%E -0.938%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 17:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 17:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.05%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 17:48 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 17:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.49%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -7.47%E -2.32%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -9.37%E -4.85%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -8.05%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -9.37%E -4.85%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -8.05%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 18:03 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.20%EV -5.14%E -2.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -6.43%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -2.30%E -0.676%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.17%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 17:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.05%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -5.17%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 17:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.05%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 17:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30%EV -7.02%E -3.54%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30%EV -7.02%E -3.54%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.55%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -10.30%E -5.40%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -10.30%E -5.40%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -7.02%E -3.54%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.48%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 17:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 17:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.14%EV -9.83%E -5.12%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.48%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.44%EV -11.71%E -6.23%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.89%EV -14.06%E -7.68%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -12.36%E -4.05%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%EV -9.37%E -4.85%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 18:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%EV -9.37%E -4.85%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 18:03 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -12.18%E -6.51%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -12.18%E -6.51%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-15 17:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -12.18%E -6.51%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -12.18%E -6.51%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.11%EV -12.18%E -6.51%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.81%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.08%EV -12.93%E -4.27%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-15 17:56 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.73%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -11.29%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.05%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.69%EV -7.02%E -3.54%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-15 17:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.71%EV -10.77%E -5.67%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -10.30%E -5.40%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -13.79%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.50%EV -9.83%E -5.12%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -13.72%E -3.87%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -9.48%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.21%EV -9.37%E -4.85%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -9.48%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -10.30%E -5.40%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.21% | 2.2% | 2026-08-15 18:10 |