Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Widzew Łódź v Korona Kielce

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 18:15 UTC

Score final : Widzew Łódź 1–2 Korona Kielce

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Widzew Łódź (Local)

Prévision 46.96%2.13cote équitable
EV -5.14%
Avantage -2.54%
Kelly -5.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.69%46.97%47.02%48.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.831.951.962.0254.64%51.30%51.02%49.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Korona Kielce (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.30%4.11cote équitable
EV +3.29%
Avantage +0.774%
Kelly +1.01%
Croissance +0.033%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.37%24.28%24.27%25.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.773.804.2528.57%26.50%26.32%23.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.74%3.48cote équitable
EV -2.30%
Avantage -0.676%
Kelly -0.958%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.04%28.75%28.71%29.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.183.203.4033.33%31.46%31.25%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Widzew Łódź (Local) : 46.96% ; Korona Kielce (Visiteur) : 24.30% ; Match nul : 28.74%. Pour Korona Kielce (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.11. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.25, soit une espérance positive de +3.29%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.01%EV -7.02%E -3.54%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV +3.29%E +0.774%K +1.01%G +0.033%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.62%EV -7.76%E -2.42%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 18:04
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.44%EV -0.355%E -0.087%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.51%EV -3.16%E -0.938%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 17:49
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 17:49
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.05%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 17:48
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 17:44
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 17:44
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 17:45
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 17:44
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 17:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 17:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 17:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.49%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -7.47%E -2.32%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 18:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -9.37%E -4.85%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -8.05%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 18:04
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -9.37%E -4.85%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -8.05%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 18:03
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.20%EV -5.14%E -2.54%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -6.43%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -2.30%E -0.676%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 17:59
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.17%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 17:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.05%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 18:04
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -5.17%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 17:49
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.05%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 17:49
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30%EV -7.02%E -3.54%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30%EV -7.02%E -3.54%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 18:00
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.55%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 18:04
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -10.30%E -5.40%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 18:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -10.30%E -5.40%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 18:09
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 17:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -7.02%E -3.54%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.48%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 17:59
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 17:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 17:50
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.14%EV -9.83%E -5.12%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.48%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 17:44
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.44%EV -11.71%E -6.23%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 17:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.89%EV -14.06%E -7.68%K -16.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -12.36%E -4.05%K -6.03%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-15 18:04
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%EV -9.37%E -4.85%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 18:03
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%EV -9.37%E -4.85%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 18:03
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -12.18%E -6.51%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 17:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -12.18%E -6.51%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 17:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -12.18%E -6.51%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 17:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -12.18%E -6.51%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 17:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.11%EV -12.18%E -6.51%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.81%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.08%EV -12.93%E -4.27%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-15 17:56
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.73%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -11.29%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 17:59
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 17:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.05%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 18:00
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.69%EV -7.02%E -3.54%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 17:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.71%EV -10.77%E -5.67%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 17:54
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -10.30%E -5.40%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -13.79%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-15 18:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.50%EV -9.83%E -5.12%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -13.72%E -3.87%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -9.48%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 17:54
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 17:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 17:54
Bet Right🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.21%EV -9.37%E -4.85%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -9.48%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 18:00
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -10.30%E -5.40%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-15 17:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-08-15 18:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%1.3%2026-08-15 18:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%1.3%2026-08-15 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%1.3%2026-08-15 18:00
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%1.3%2026-08-15 18:09
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.21%2.2%2026-08-15 18:10