Language:English
Raków Częstochowa v Zagłębie Lubin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Raków Częstochowa (Local)
Prediction 53.17%1.88fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -3.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.79%53.20%53.12%54.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.741.741.8361.35%57.32%57.47%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Zagłębie Lubin (Visit)
Prediction 21.84%4.58fair odd
EV +3.95%
Edge +0.830%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.042%
assuming max odds 4.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.14%21.76%21.89%23.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.164.104.7625.64%24.02%24.39%21.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.99%4.00fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -0.523%
Kelly -0.702%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.04%25.04%24.99%26.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.603.603.9229.85%27.75%27.78%25.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Raków Częstochowa (Local): 53.17%; Zagłębie Lubin (Visit): 21.84%; Draw: 24.99%. For Zagłębie Lubin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.58. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.76, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.95%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.77%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.14%EV +3.95%E +0.830%K +1.05%G +0.042% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.09%EV -4.55%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-15 15:56 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.68%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.05%EV -1.29%E -0.285%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.27%EV -2.05%E -0.523%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 15:56 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -1.73%E -0.383%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -5.05%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-15 15:46 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -9.07%E -5.31%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -1.73%E -0.383%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-15 15:51 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -9.60%E -5.65%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -1.73%E -0.383%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -8.80%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-15 15:51 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.73%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.01%EV -2.82%E -0.633%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 15:51 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -3.91%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -3.91%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -8.01%E -4.63%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -3.91%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-15 15:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -11.20%E -6.71%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.91%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.05%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-15 15:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -5.44%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-15 15:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -9.60%E -5.65%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -5.44%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -6.30%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 15:51 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -5.44%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-15 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -5.44%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-15 15:41 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -5.44%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-15 15:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.60%E -5.65%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -5.44%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -6.09%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-15 15:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.19%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.05%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 15:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.98%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -7.19%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.33%EV -9.05%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.46%EV -3.22%E -1.77%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -8.28%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.80%E -0.986%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -9.60%E -5.65%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.28%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-15 15:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -9.60%E -5.65%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.28%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -8.54%E -4.97%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -8.28%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-15 15:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.60%E -5.65%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -8.28%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.04%E -4.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-15 15:51 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-15 15:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-15 15:46 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-15 15:46 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.35%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-15 15:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -8.01%E -4.63%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 15:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -8.54%E -4.97%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -8.80%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-15 15:51 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -8.54%E -4.97%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -8.80%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.64%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-15 15:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.12%EV -8.54%E -4.97%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -12.64%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.05%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-15 15:51 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -11.20%E -6.71%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -12.64%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-15 15:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.76%EV -13.33%E -8.18%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -12.64%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-15 15:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.18%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.74%E -3.48%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-15 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.05%EV -12.26%E -7.43%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.16%EV -13.74%E -3.48%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 24.80%EV -11.79%E -3.34%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-15 15:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 52.93%EV -12.26%E -7.43%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.11%EV -13.74%E -3.48%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.95%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-15 15:56 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-15 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-15 15:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-15 15:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.79%EV -6.41%E -3.64%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -15.04%E -4.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -8.01%E -4.63%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-15 15:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.06%EV -10.67%E -6.35%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-15 15:51 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.88%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -16.29%E -4.86%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.88%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -16.29%E -4.86%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.88%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -16.29%E -4.86%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-15 15:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.88%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -16.29%E -4.86%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-15 15:46 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.08% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-09-15 15:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.08% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.08% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-09-15 15:51 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12% | 0.8% | 2026-09-15 15:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.18% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28% | 1.4% | 2026-09-15 15:56 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.84% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54% | 1.9% | 2026-09-15 15:56 |