Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Raków Częstochowa v Zagłębie Lubin

Inizio: 2026-09-15 16:00 UTC

Finale: Raków Częstochowa 2–3 Zagłębie Lubin

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

53 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Raków Częstochowa (Casa)

Previsione 53.17%1.88quota equa
EV -2.69%
Vantaggio -1.47%
Kelly -3.24%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.79%53.20%53.12%54.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.631.741.741.8361.35%57.32%57.47%54.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Zagłębie Lubin (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.84%4.58quota equa
EV +3.95%
Vantaggio +0.830%
Kelly +1.05%
Crescita +0.042%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.76

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.14%21.76%21.89%23.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.904.164.104.7625.64%24.02%24.39%21.01%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 24.99%4.00quota equa
EV -2.05%
Vantaggio -0.523%
Kelly -0.702%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.92

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.04%25.04%24.99%26.43%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.353.603.603.9229.85%27.75%27.78%25.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Raków Częstochowa (Casa): 53.17%; Zagłębie Lubin (Trasferta): 21.84%; Pareggio: 24.99%. Per Zagłębie Lubin (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.58. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 4.76, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.95%.

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.77%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.14%EV +3.95%E +0.830%K +1.05%G +0.042%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.09%EV -4.55%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 15:56
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.68%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.05%EV -1.29%E -0.285%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.27%EV -2.05%E -0.523%K -0.702%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 15:56
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -1.73%E -0.383%K -0.493%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -5.05%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 15:46
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -9.07%E -5.31%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -1.73%E -0.383%K -0.493%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-15 15:51
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -9.60%E -5.65%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -1.73%E -0.383%K -0.493%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -8.80%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-15 15:51
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.73%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.01%EV -2.82%E -0.633%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 15:51
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -3.91%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 15:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -3.91%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 15:45
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -8.01%E -4.63%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -3.91%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -11.20%E -6.71%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.91%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.05%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -5.44%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-15 15:35
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -9.60%E -5.65%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -5.44%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -6.30%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 15:51
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -5.44%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 15:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -5.44%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 15:41
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -5.44%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 15:40
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.60%E -5.65%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -5.44%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-15 15:45
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -6.09%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 15:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.19%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.05%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.98%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -7.19%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.33%EV -9.05%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 15:45
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.46%EV -3.22%E -1.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -8.28%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.80%E -0.986%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 15:45
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -9.60%E -5.65%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.28%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 15:44
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -9.60%E -5.65%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.28%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 15:45
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -8.54%E -4.97%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -8.28%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-15 15:55
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.60%E -5.65%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -8.28%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.04%E -4.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-15 15:45
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 15:51
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 15:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 15:45
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 15:46
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 15:45
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 15:46
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.35%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 15:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -8.01%E -4.63%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 15:50
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -8.54%E -4.97%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -8.80%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-15 15:51
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -8.54%E -4.97%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -8.80%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-15 15:45
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.64%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 15:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.12%EV -8.54%E -4.97%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -12.64%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.05%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-15 15:51
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -11.20%E -6.71%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -12.64%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-15 15:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 53.76%EV -13.33%E -8.18%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -12.64%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-15 15:50
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.18%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.74%E -3.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-15 15:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.05%EV -12.26%E -7.43%K -18.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.16%EV -13.74%E -3.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.80%EV -11.79%E -3.34%K -4.66%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-15 15:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 52.93%EV -12.26%E -7.43%K -18.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.11%EV -13.74%E -3.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.95%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-15 15:56
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-15 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-15 15:35
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-15 15:35
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.79%EV -6.41%E -3.64%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -15.04%E -4.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 15:45
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -8.01%E -4.63%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-15 15:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.06%EV -10.67%E -6.35%K -15.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-15 15:51
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.88%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -16.29%E -4.86%K -6.93%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 15:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.88%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -16.29%E -4.86%K -6.93%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 15:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.88%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -16.29%E -4.86%K -6.93%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 15:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.88%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -16.29%E -4.86%K -6.93%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 15:46
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.08%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-09-15 15:46
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.08%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-09-15 15:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.08%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-09-15 15:51
Matchbook◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-09-15 15:56
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.18%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%1.4%2026-09-15 15:56
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.84%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%1.9%2026-09-15 15:56