Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.76
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.92
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Raków Częstochowa (Local): 53.17%; Zagłębie Lubin (Visitante): 21.84%; Empate: 24.99%. Para Zagłębie Lubin (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.58. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.76, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.95%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.77%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.14%EV +3.95%E +0.830%K +1.05%G +0.042% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.09%EV -4.55%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-15 15:56 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.68%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.05%EV -1.29%E -0.285%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.27%EV -2.05%E -0.523%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 15:56 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -1.73%E -0.383%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -5.05%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-15 15:46 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -9.07%E -5.31%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -1.73%E -0.383%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-15 15:51 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -9.60%E -5.65%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -1.73%E -0.383%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -8.80%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-15 15:51 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.73%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.01%EV -2.82%E -0.633%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 15:51 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -3.91%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -3.91%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -8.01%E -4.63%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -3.91%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-15 15:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -11.20%E -6.71%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.91%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.05%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-15 15:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -5.44%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-15 15:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -9.60%E -5.65%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -5.44%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -6.30%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 15:51 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -5.44%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-15 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -5.44%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-15 15:41 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -5.44%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-15 15:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.60%E -5.65%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -5.44%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -6.09%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-15 15:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.19%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.05%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 15:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.98%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -7.19%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.33%EV -9.05%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.46%EV -3.22%E -1.77%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -8.28%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.80%E -0.986%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -9.60%E -5.65%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.28%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-15 15:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -9.60%E -5.65%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.28%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -8.54%E -4.97%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -8.28%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-15 15:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.60%E -5.65%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -8.28%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.04%E -4.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-15 15:51 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-15 15:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-15 15:46 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-15 15:46 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.35%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-15 15:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -8.01%E -4.63%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 15:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -8.54%E -4.97%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -8.80%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-15 15:51 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -8.54%E -4.97%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -8.80%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.64%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-15 15:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.12%EV -8.54%E -4.97%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -12.64%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.05%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-15 15:51 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -11.20%E -6.71%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -12.64%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-15 15:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.76%EV -13.33%E -8.18%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -12.64%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-15 15:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.18%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.74%E -3.48%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-15 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.05%EV -12.26%E -7.43%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.16%EV -13.74%E -3.48%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 24.80%EV -11.79%E -3.34%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-15 15:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 52.93%EV -12.26%E -7.43%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.11%EV -13.74%E -3.48%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.95%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-15 15:56 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-15 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-15 15:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-15 15:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.79%EV -6.41%E -3.64%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -15.04%E -4.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -8.01%E -4.63%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-15 15:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.06%EV -10.67%E -6.35%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-15 15:51 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.88%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -16.29%E -4.86%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.88%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -16.29%E -4.86%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.88%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -16.29%E -4.86%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-15 15:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.88%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -16.29%E -4.86%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-15 15:46 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.08% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-09-15 15:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.08% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.08% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-09-15 15:51 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12% | 0.8% | 2026-09-15 15:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.18% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28% | 1.4% | 2026-09-15 15:56 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.84% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54% | 1.9% | 2026-09-15 15:56 |