Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Raków Częstochowa v Zagłębie Lubin

Początek: 2026-09-15 16:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Raków Częstochowa 2–3 Zagłębie Lubin

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Raków Częstochowa (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 53.17%1.88kurs godziwy
EV -2.69%
Przewaga -1.47%
Kelly -3.24%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.83

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
50.79%53.20%53.12%54.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.631.741.741.8361.35%57.32%57.47%54.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Zagłębie Lubin (Goście)

Prognoza 21.84%4.58kurs godziwy
EV +3.95%
Przewaga +0.830%
Kelly +1.05%
Wzrost +0.042%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.76

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
20.14%21.76%21.89%23.19%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.904.164.104.7625.64%24.02%24.39%21.01%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 24.99%4.00kurs godziwy
EV -2.05%
Przewaga -0.523%
Kelly -0.702%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.92

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
24.04%25.04%24.99%26.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.353.603.603.9229.85%27.75%27.78%25.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Raków Częstochowa (Gospodarze): 53.17%; Zagłębie Lubin (Goście): 21.84%; Remis: 24.99%. Dla wyniku Zagłębie Lubin (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.58. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.76, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +3.95%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.77%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.14%EV +3.95%E +0.830%K +1.05%G +0.042%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.09%EV -4.55%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 15:56
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.68%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.05%EV -1.29%E -0.285%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.27%EV -2.05%E -0.523%K -0.702%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 15:56
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -1.73%E -0.383%K -0.493%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -5.05%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 15:46
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -9.07%E -5.31%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -1.73%E -0.383%K -0.493%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-15 15:51
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -9.60%E -5.65%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -1.73%E -0.383%K -0.493%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -8.80%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-15 15:51
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.73%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.01%EV -2.82%E -0.633%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 15:51
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -3.91%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 15:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -3.91%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 15:45
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -8.01%E -4.63%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -3.91%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -11.20%E -6.71%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.91%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.05%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -5.44%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-15 15:35
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -9.60%E -5.65%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -5.44%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -6.30%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 15:51
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -5.44%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 15:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -5.44%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 15:41
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -5.44%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 15:40
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.60%E -5.65%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -5.44%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-15 15:45
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -6.09%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 15:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.19%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.05%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.98%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -7.19%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.33%EV -9.05%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 15:45
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.46%EV -3.22%E -1.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -8.28%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.80%E -0.986%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 15:45
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -9.60%E -5.65%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.28%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 15:44
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -9.60%E -5.65%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.28%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 15:45
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -8.54%E -4.97%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -8.28%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-15 15:55
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.60%E -5.65%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -8.28%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.04%E -4.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-15 15:45
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 15:51
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 15:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 15:45
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 15:46
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 15:45
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 15:46
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.35%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 15:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -8.01%E -4.63%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 15:50
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -8.54%E -4.97%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -8.80%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-15 15:51
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -8.54%E -4.97%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -8.80%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-15 15:45
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.64%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 15:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.12%EV -8.54%E -4.97%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -12.64%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.05%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-15 15:51
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -11.20%E -6.71%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -12.64%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-15 15:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 53.76%EV -13.33%E -8.18%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -12.64%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-15 15:50
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.18%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.74%E -3.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-15 15:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.05%EV -12.26%E -7.43%K -18.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.16%EV -13.74%E -3.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.80%EV -11.79%E -3.34%K -4.66%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-15 15:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 52.93%EV -12.26%E -7.43%K -18.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.11%EV -13.74%E -3.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.95%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-15 15:56
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-15 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-15 15:35
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-15 15:35
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.79%EV -6.41%E -3.64%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -15.04%E -4.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 15:45
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -8.01%E -4.63%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-15 15:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.06%EV -10.67%E -6.35%K -15.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-15 15:51
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.88%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -16.29%E -4.86%K -6.93%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 15:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.88%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -16.29%E -4.86%K -6.93%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 15:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.88%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -16.29%E -4.86%K -6.93%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 15:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.88%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -16.29%E -4.86%K -6.93%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 15:46
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.08%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-09-15 15:46
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.08%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-09-15 15:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.08%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-09-15 15:51
Matchbook◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-09-15 15:56
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.18%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%1.4%2026-09-15 15:56
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.84%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%1.9%2026-09-15 15:56