Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Raków Częstochowa v Zagłębie Lubin

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-15 16:00 UTC

Score final : Raków Częstochowa 2–3 Zagłębie Lubin

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Raków Częstochowa (Local)

Prévision 53.17%1.88cote équitable
EV -2.69%
Avantage -1.47%
Kelly -3.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.79%53.20%53.12%54.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.631.741.741.8361.35%57.32%57.47%54.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Zagłębie Lubin (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.84%4.58cote équitable
EV +3.95%
Avantage +0.830%
Kelly +1.05%
Croissance +0.042%

avec la cote maximale 4.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.14%21.76%21.89%23.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.164.104.7625.64%24.02%24.39%21.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.99%4.00cote équitable
EV -2.05%
Avantage -0.523%
Kelly -0.702%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.04%25.04%24.99%26.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.603.603.9229.85%27.75%27.78%25.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Raków Częstochowa (Local) : 53.17% ; Zagłębie Lubin (Visiteur) : 21.84% ; Match nul : 24.99%. Pour Zagłębie Lubin (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.58. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.76, soit une espérance positive de +3.95%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.77%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.14%EV +3.95%E +0.830%K +1.05%G +0.042%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.09%EV -4.55%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 15:56
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.68%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.05%EV -1.29%E -0.285%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.27%EV -2.05%E -0.523%K -0.702%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 15:56
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -1.73%E -0.383%K -0.493%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -5.05%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 15:46
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -9.07%E -5.31%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -1.73%E -0.383%K -0.493%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-15 15:51
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -9.60%E -5.65%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -1.73%E -0.383%K -0.493%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -8.80%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-15 15:51
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.73%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.01%EV -2.82%E -0.633%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 15:51
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -3.91%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 15:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -3.91%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 15:45
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -8.01%E -4.63%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -3.91%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -11.20%E -6.71%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.91%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.05%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -5.44%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-15 15:35
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -9.60%E -5.65%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -5.44%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -6.30%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 15:51
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -5.44%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 15:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -5.44%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 15:41
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -5.44%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 15:40
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.60%E -5.65%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -5.44%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-15 15:45
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -6.09%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 15:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.19%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.05%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.98%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -7.19%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.33%EV -9.05%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 15:45
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.46%EV -3.22%E -1.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -8.28%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.80%E -0.986%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 15:45
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -9.60%E -5.65%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.28%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 15:44
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -9.60%E -5.65%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.28%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 15:45
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -8.54%E -4.97%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -8.28%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-15 15:55
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.60%E -5.65%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -8.28%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.04%E -4.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-15 15:45
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 15:51
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 15:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 15:45
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 15:46
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 15:45
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 15:46
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.35%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 15:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -8.01%E -4.63%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 15:50
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -8.54%E -4.97%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -8.80%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-15 15:51
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -8.54%E -4.97%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -10.46%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -8.80%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-15 15:45
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.64%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 15:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.12%EV -8.54%E -4.97%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -12.64%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.05%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-15 15:51
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -11.20%E -6.71%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -12.64%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-15 15:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 53.76%EV -13.33%E -8.18%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -12.64%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-15 15:50
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.18%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.74%E -3.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-15 15:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.05%EV -12.26%E -7.43%K -18.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.16%EV -13.74%E -3.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.80%EV -11.79%E -3.34%K -4.66%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-15 15:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 52.93%EV -12.26%E -7.43%K -18.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.11%EV -13.74%E -3.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.95%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-15 15:56
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-15 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-15 15:35
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-15 15:35
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.79%EV -6.41%E -3.64%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -15.04%E -4.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 15:45
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -8.01%E -4.63%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-15 15:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.06%EV -10.67%E -6.35%K -15.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-15 15:51
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.88%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -16.29%E -4.86%K -6.93%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 15:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.88%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -16.29%E -4.86%K -6.93%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 15:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.88%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -16.29%E -4.86%K -6.93%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 15:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.88%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -14.83%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -16.29%E -4.86%K -6.93%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 15:46
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.08%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-09-15 15:46
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.08%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-09-15 15:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.08%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-09-15 15:51
Matchbook◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-09-15 15:56
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.18%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%1.4%2026-09-15 15:56
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.84%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%1.9%2026-09-15 15:56