Language:English
Raków Częstochowa v Motor Lublin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Raków Częstochowa (Local)
Prediction 52.33%1.91fair odd
EV -5.81%
Edge -3.23%
Kelly -7.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.02%52.39%52.29%54.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.731.731.8061.35%57.80%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Motor Lublin (Visit)
Prediction 23.75%4.21fair odd
EV +3.31%
Edge +0.762%
Kelly +0.989%
Growth +0.033%
assuming max odds 4.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.59%23.69%23.79%25.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.963.904.3528.57%25.27%25.64%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.92%4.18fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -0.771%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.74%23.92%23.92%25.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.843.804.0527.78%26.07%26.32%24.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Raków Częstochowa (Local): 52.33%; Motor Lublin (Visit): 23.75%; Draw: 23.92%. For Motor Lublin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.21. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.31%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.31%E +0.762%K +0.989%G +0.033% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:21 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.31%E +0.762%K +0.989%G +0.033% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.31%E +0.762%K +0.989%G +0.033% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.31%E +0.762%K +0.989%G +0.033% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.31%E +0.762%K +0.989%G +0.033% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.31%E +0.762%K +0.989%G +0.033% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:16 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.31%E +0.762%K +0.989%G +0.033% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.31%E +0.762%K +0.989%G +0.033% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -8.95%E -5.14%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -2.62%E -0.640%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 01:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -11.04%E -6.49%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -2.62%E -0.640%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.15%EV -12.61%E -7.55%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -2.62%E -0.640%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.28%EV -13.66%E -8.28%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -2.62%E -0.640%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.88%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-09 16:16 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.58%EV -14.70%E -9.02%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -2.62%E -0.640%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 16:16 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.58%EV -14.70%E -9.02%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -2.62%E -0.640%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.58%EV -14.70%E -9.02%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -2.62%E -0.640%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 16:21 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.58%EV -14.70%E -9.02%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -2.62%E -0.640%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.26%EV -6.85%E -3.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 20:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -9.47%E -5.47%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -12.69%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 20:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -12.69%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 20:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.42%EV -9.99%E -5.81%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -13.89%E -3.86%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-09 13:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -7.38%E -4.17%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 12:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -7.38%E -4.17%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -5.52%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 16:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 12:36 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -9.47%E -5.47%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.13%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.72%EV -12.69%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -11.04%E -6.49%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 01:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -11.04%E -6.49%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 01:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.35%EV -13.13%E -7.91%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.43%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.26%EV -7.61%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -3.12%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 17:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.05%EV -6.85%E -3.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.88%EV -7.85%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -7.91%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 12:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.07%EV -8.09%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -7.91%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.55%EV -12.09%E -7.19%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.93%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -13.89%E -3.86%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.81%EV -6.33%E -3.54%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 14:26 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.81%EV -6.33%E -3.54%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -7.38%E -4.17%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -5.52%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 17:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -7.38%E -4.17%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -5.52%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 17:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -7.90%E -4.49%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 12:36 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 12:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 12:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -9.99%E -5.81%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 20:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.94%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 12:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.94%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 12:31 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.94%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 12:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.28%EV -11.04%E -6.49%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -10.94%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-08 20:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.39%EV -12.61%E -7.55%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.64%EV -12.12%E -3.28%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -12.69%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-09 12:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -14.50%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -9.47%E -5.47%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -14.50%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.73%EV -11.04%E -6.49%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -16.87%E -4.82%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-08 09:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.99% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51% | 2.0% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58% | 3.4% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58% | 3.4% | 2026-09-09 17:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58% | 3.4% | 2026-09-09 16:26 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 16:50 |