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Raków Częstochowa v Motor Lublin
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Raków Częstochowa (Хозяева)
Прогноз 52.33%1.91справедливый коэффициент
EV -5.81%
Преимущество -3.23%
Kelly -7.26%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.80
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
51.02%52.39%52.29%54.93%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.631.731.731.8061.35%57.80%57.80%55.56%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Motor Lublin (Гости)
Прогноз 23.75%4.21справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.31%
Преимущество +0.762%
Kelly +0.989%
Рост +0.033%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.35
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.59%23.69%23.79%25.27%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.503.963.904.3528.57%25.27%25.64%22.99%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 23.92%4.18справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.12%
Преимущество -0.771%
Kelly -1.02%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.05
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.74%23.92%23.92%25.04%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.603.843.804.0527.78%26.07%26.32%24.69%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Raków Częstochowa (Хозяева): 52.33%; Motor Lublin (Гости): 23.75%; Ничья: 23.92%. Для исхода «Motor Lublin (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.21. 8 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.35, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.31%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (51 букмекерская контора)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.31%E +0.762%K +0.989%G +0.033% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:21 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.31%E +0.762%K +0.989%G +0.033% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.31%E +0.762%K +0.989%G +0.033% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.31%E +0.762%K +0.989%G +0.033% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.31%E +0.762%K +0.989%G +0.033% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.31%E +0.762%K +0.989%G +0.033% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:16 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.31%E +0.762%K +0.989%G +0.033% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.31%E +0.762%K +0.989%G +0.033% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -8.95%E -5.14%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -2.62%E -0.640%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 01:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -11.04%E -6.49%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -2.62%E -0.640%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.15%EV -12.61%E -7.55%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -2.62%E -0.640%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.28%EV -13.66%E -8.28%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -2.62%E -0.640%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.88%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-09 16:16 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.58%EV -14.70%E -9.02%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -2.62%E -0.640%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 16:16 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.58%EV -14.70%E -9.02%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -2.62%E -0.640%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.58%EV -14.70%E -9.02%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -2.62%E -0.640%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 16:21 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.58%EV -14.70%E -9.02%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -2.62%E -0.640%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.26%EV -6.85%E -3.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 20:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -9.47%E -5.47%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -12.69%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 20:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -12.69%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 20:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.42%EV -9.99%E -5.81%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -13.89%E -3.86%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-09 13:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -7.38%E -4.17%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 12:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -7.38%E -4.17%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -5.52%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 16:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 12:36 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -9.47%E -5.47%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.13%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.72%EV -12.69%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -11.04%E -6.49%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 01:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -11.04%E -6.49%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 01:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.35%EV -13.13%E -7.91%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.43%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.26%EV -7.61%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -3.12%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 17:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.05%EV -6.85%E -3.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.88%EV -7.85%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -7.91%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 12:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.07%EV -8.09%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -7.91%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.55%EV -12.09%E -7.19%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.93%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -13.89%E -3.86%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.81%EV -6.33%E -3.54%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 14:26 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.81%EV -6.33%E -3.54%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -7.38%E -4.17%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -5.52%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 17:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -7.38%E -4.17%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -5.52%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 17:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -7.90%E -4.49%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 12:36 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 12:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 12:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -9.99%E -5.81%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 20:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.94%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 12:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.94%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 12:31 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.94%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 12:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.28%EV -11.04%E -6.49%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -10.94%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-08 20:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.39%EV -12.61%E -7.55%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.64%EV -12.12%E -3.28%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -12.69%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-09 12:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -14.50%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -9.47%E -5.47%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -14.50%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.73%EV -11.04%E -6.49%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -16.87%E -4.82%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-08 09:25 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.99% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51% | 2.0% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58% | 3.4% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58% | 3.4% | 2026-09-09 17:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58% | 3.4% | 2026-09-09 16:26 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 16:50 |