Langue:Français
Raków Częstochowa v Motor Lublin
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Raków Częstochowa (Local)
Prévision 52.33%1.91cote équitable
EV -5.81%
Avantage -3.23%
Kelly -7.26%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.02%52.39%52.29%54.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.631.731.731.8061.35%57.80%57.80%55.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Motor Lublin (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.75%4.21cote équitable
EV +3.31%
Avantage +0.762%
Kelly +0.989%
Croissance +0.033%
avec la cote maximale 4.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.59%23.69%23.79%25.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.963.904.3528.57%25.27%25.64%22.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 23.92%4.18cote équitable
EV -3.12%
Avantage -0.771%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.74%23.92%23.92%25.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.843.804.0527.78%26.07%26.32%24.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Raków Częstochowa (Local) : 52.33% ; Motor Lublin (Visiteur) : 23.75% ; Match nul : 23.92%. Pour Motor Lublin (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.21. 8 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.35, soit une espérance positive de +3.31%.
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.31%E +0.762%K +0.989%G +0.033% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:21 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.31%E +0.762%K +0.989%G +0.033% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.31%E +0.762%K +0.989%G +0.033% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.31%E +0.762%K +0.989%G +0.033% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.31%E +0.762%K +0.989%G +0.033% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.31%E +0.762%K +0.989%G +0.033% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:16 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.31%E +0.762%K +0.989%G +0.033% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.31%E +0.762%K +0.989%G +0.033% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -8.95%E -5.14%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -2.62%E -0.640%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 01:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -11.04%E -6.49%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -2.62%E -0.640%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.15%EV -12.61%E -7.55%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -2.62%E -0.640%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.28%EV -13.66%E -8.28%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -2.62%E -0.640%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.88%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-09 16:16 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.58%EV -14.70%E -9.02%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -2.62%E -0.640%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 16:16 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.58%EV -14.70%E -9.02%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -2.62%E -0.640%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.58%EV -14.70%E -9.02%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -2.62%E -0.640%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 16:21 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.58%EV -14.70%E -9.02%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -2.62%E -0.640%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.26%EV -6.85%E -3.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 20:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -9.47%E -5.47%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -12.69%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 20:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -12.69%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 20:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.42%EV -9.99%E -5.81%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -13.89%E -3.86%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-09 13:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -7.38%E -4.17%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 12:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -7.38%E -4.17%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -5.52%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 16:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 12:36 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -9.47%E -5.47%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.13%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.72%EV -12.69%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -11.04%E -6.49%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 01:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -11.04%E -6.49%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 01:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.35%EV -13.13%E -7.91%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.43%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.26%EV -7.61%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -3.12%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 17:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.05%EV -6.85%E -3.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.88%EV -7.85%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -7.91%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 12:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.07%EV -8.09%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -7.91%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.55%EV -12.09%E -7.19%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.93%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -13.89%E -3.86%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.81%EV -6.33%E -3.54%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 14:26 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.81%EV -6.33%E -3.54%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -7.38%E -4.17%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -5.52%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 17:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -7.38%E -4.17%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -5.52%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 17:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -7.90%E -4.49%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 12:36 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 12:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 12:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -9.99%E -5.81%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 20:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.94%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 12:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.94%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 12:31 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.94%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 12:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.28%EV -11.04%E -6.49%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -10.94%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-08 20:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.39%EV -12.61%E -7.55%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.64%EV -12.12%E -3.28%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -12.69%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-09 12:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -14.50%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -9.47%E -5.47%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -14.50%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.73%EV -11.04%E -6.49%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -16.87%E -4.82%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-08 09:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.99% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51% | 2.0% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58% | 3.4% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58% | 3.4% | 2026-09-09 17:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58% | 3.4% | 2026-09-09 16:26 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 16:50 |