Język:Polski
Raków Częstochowa v Motor Lublin
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Raków Częstochowa (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 52.33%1.91kurs godziwy
EV -5.81%
Przewaga -3.23%
Kelly -7.26%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.80
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
51.02%52.39%52.29%54.93%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.631.731.731.8061.35%57.80%57.80%55.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Motor Lublin (Goście)
Prognoza 23.75%4.21kurs godziwy
EV +3.31%
Przewaga +0.762%
Kelly +0.989%
Wzrost +0.033%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.35
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.59%23.69%23.79%25.27%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.503.963.904.3528.57%25.27%25.64%22.99%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 23.92%4.18kurs godziwy
EV -3.12%
Przewaga -0.771%
Kelly -1.02%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.05
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.74%23.92%23.92%25.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.603.843.804.0527.78%26.07%26.32%24.69%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Raków Częstochowa (Gospodarze): 52.33%; Motor Lublin (Goście): 23.75%; Remis: 23.92%. Dla wyniku Motor Lublin (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.21. 8 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.35, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +3.31%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (51 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.31%E +0.762%K +0.989%G +0.033% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:21 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.31%E +0.762%K +0.989%G +0.033% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.31%E +0.762%K +0.989%G +0.033% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.31%E +0.762%K +0.989%G +0.033% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.31%E +0.762%K +0.989%G +0.033% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.31%E +0.762%K +0.989%G +0.033% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:16 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.31%E +0.762%K +0.989%G +0.033% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.31%E +0.762%K +0.989%G +0.033% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -8.95%E -5.14%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -2.62%E -0.640%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 01:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -11.04%E -6.49%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -2.62%E -0.640%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.15%EV -12.61%E -7.55%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -2.62%E -0.640%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.28%EV -13.66%E -8.28%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -2.62%E -0.640%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.88%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-09 16:16 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.58%EV -14.70%E -9.02%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -2.62%E -0.640%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 16:16 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.58%EV -14.70%E -9.02%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -2.62%E -0.640%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.58%EV -14.70%E -9.02%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -2.62%E -0.640%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 16:21 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.58%EV -14.70%E -9.02%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -2.62%E -0.640%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.26%EV -6.85%E -3.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 20:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -9.47%E -5.47%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -12.69%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 20:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -12.69%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 20:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.42%EV -9.99%E -5.81%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -13.89%E -3.86%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-09 13:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -7.38%E -4.17%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 12:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -7.38%E -4.17%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -5.52%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 16:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 12:36 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -9.47%E -5.47%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.13%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.72%EV -12.69%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -11.04%E -6.49%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 01:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -11.04%E -6.49%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 01:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.35%EV -13.13%E -7.91%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.43%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.26%EV -7.61%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -3.12%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 17:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.05%EV -6.85%E -3.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.88%EV -7.85%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -7.91%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 12:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.07%EV -8.09%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -7.91%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.55%EV -12.09%E -7.19%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.93%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -13.89%E -3.86%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.81%EV -6.33%E -3.54%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 14:26 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.81%EV -6.33%E -3.54%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -7.38%E -4.17%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -5.52%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 17:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -7.38%E -4.17%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -5.52%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 17:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -7.90%E -4.49%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 12:36 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 12:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 12:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -9.99%E -5.81%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 20:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.94%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 12:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.94%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 12:31 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.94%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 12:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.28%EV -11.04%E -6.49%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -10.94%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-08 20:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.39%EV -12.61%E -7.55%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.64%EV -12.12%E -3.28%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -12.69%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-09 12:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.42%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -14.50%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -9.47%E -5.47%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -14.50%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.73%EV -11.04%E -6.49%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -16.87%E -4.82%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-08 09:25 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (5)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.99% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51% | 2.0% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58% | 3.4% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58% | 3.4% | 2026-09-09 17:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58% | 3.4% | 2026-09-09 16:26 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 16:50 |