Language:English
Pogoń Szczecin v Motor Lublin
Head to Head
Pogoń Szczecin (Local)
Prediction 45.88%2.18fair odd
EV -5.95%
Edge -2.90%
Kelly -5.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.46%45.60%45.85%46.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.982.002.0553.19%50.41%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Motor Lublin (Visit)
Prediction 27.03%3.70fair odd
EV +4.08%
Edge +1.06%
Kelly +1.43%
Growth +0.058%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.58%26.92%27.65%28.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.373.303.8532.26%29.66%30.30%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.09%3.69fair odd
EV -5.20%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.54%27.48%26.50%30.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.833.353.403.5035.34%29.83%29.41%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pogoń Szczecin (Local): 45.88%; Motor Lublin (Visit): 27.03%; Draw: 27.09%. For Motor Lublin (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.70. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.85, producing a positive expected value of +4.08%.
Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.32%E -3.62%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV +4.08%E +1.06%K +1.43%G +0.058% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.58%EV -10.35%E -3.13%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 18:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.38%EV -7.78%E -3.87%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -1.33%E -0.363%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -10.08%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.60%EV -8.70%E -4.37%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.47%EV -1.60%E -0.438%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.93%EV -10.08%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 18:23 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -7.32%E -3.62%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -7.32%E -3.62%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -9.62%E -4.88%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.46%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.78%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 30.76%EV -23.35%E -8.25%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-08-03 19:18 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.36%EV -13.75%E -7.31%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.23%EV -13.49%E -4.22%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -10.62%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.08%EV -10.99%E -5.67%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -14.84%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -11.91%E -6.20%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -16.19%E -5.22%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.76% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.66% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.59% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 19:25 |