Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.02
avec la cote maximale 3.94
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Pogoń Szczecin (Local) : 48.03% ; Motor Lublin (Visiteur) : 25.94% ; Match nul : 26.03%. Pour Motor Lublin (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.85. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.94, soit une espérance positive de +2.21%.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.25%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.37%EV +2.21%E +0.561%K +0.752%G +0.017% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.38%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV +1.17%E +0.301%K +0.405%G +0.005% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 14:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -1.42%E -0.374%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -10.19%E -5.45%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -1.42%E -0.374%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.15%E -6.03%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -1.42%E -0.374%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 15:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.75%EV -8.75%E -4.60%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.63%EV -2.46%E -0.654%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.62%EV -9.41%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 15:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -2.72%E -0.725%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 14:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -6.83%E -3.52%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -2.72%E -0.725%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 15:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -6.83%E -3.52%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -2.72%E -0.725%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 15:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -9.71%E -5.16%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -2.72%E -0.725%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 15:27 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -9.71%E -5.16%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -2.72%E -0.725%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -11.15%E -6.03%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -2.72%E -0.725%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 15:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -11.15%E -6.03%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -2.72%E -0.725%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 15:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -3.69%E -0.996%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -4.91%E -2.48%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -6.61%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -2.39%E -0.636%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 15:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.61%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 14:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -12.11%E -6.62%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -6.61%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-08 14:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 15:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 15:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 15:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.31%E -3.79%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 15:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -2.98%E -1.48%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 15:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 15:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -10.19%E -5.45%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -3.69%E -0.996%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 15:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -10.19%E -5.45%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -3.69%E -0.996%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -12.80%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 14:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -8.75%E -4.60%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 15:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-08 15:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.39%EV -13.55%E -7.53%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.62%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.00%EV -12.80%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -5.39%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -13.09%E -3.91%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -8.75%E -4.60%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -13.09%E -3.91%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 15:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -13.09%E -3.91%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -13.09%E -3.91%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.48%EV -9.71%E -5.16%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -13.09%E -3.91%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.81%EV -11.15%E -6.03%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.56%EV -13.61%E -4.09%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 15:23 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.25%EV -5.87%E -2.99%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -14.39%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.64%EV -9.71%E -5.16%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -14.39%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -11.15%E -6.03%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -14.39%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-08 15:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -13.55%E -7.53%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -14.39%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-08 14:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -9.71%E -5.16%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -15.69%E -4.83%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -12.80%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65% | 1.4% | 2026-08-08 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65% | 1.4% | 2026-08-08 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65% | 1.4% | 2026-08-08 15:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.31% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.16% | 1.9% | 2026-08-08 15:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 15:00 |