StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Pogoń Szczecin v Motor Lublin

Matchstart: 2026-08-08 15:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Pogoń Szczecin 3–1 Motor Lublin

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

52 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Pogoń Szczecin (Hemma)

Prognos 48.03%2.08rättvist odds
EV -2.98%
Fördel -1.48%
Kelly -2.93%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.02

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
46.23%48.14%48.02%49.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.801.921.942.0255.56%51.98%51.55%49.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Motor Lublin (Borta)

Prognos 25.94%3.85rättvist odds
EV +2.21%
Fördel +0.561%
Kelly +0.752%
Tillväxt +0.017%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.94

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.06%25.81%26.03%27.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.253.523.453.9430.77%28.45%28.99%25.38%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.03%3.84rättvist odds
EV -2.39%
Fördel -0.636%
Kelly -0.867%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.59%26.05%25.95%27.21%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.513.503.7530.30%28.53%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Pogoń Szczecin (Hemma): 48.03%; Motor Lublin (Borta): 25.94%; Oavgjort: 26.03%. För Motor Lublin (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.85. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.94, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.21%.

Spelbolagsodds (52 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.25%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.37%EV +2.21%E +0.561%K +0.752%G +0.017%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.38%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 15:29
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV +1.17%E +0.301%K +0.405%G +0.005%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 14:39
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -1.42%E -0.374%K -0.507%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 15:29
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -10.19%E -5.45%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -1.42%E -0.374%K -0.507%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.15%E -6.03%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -1.42%E -0.374%K -0.507%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 15:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.75%EV -8.75%E -4.60%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.63%EV -2.46%E -0.654%K -0.890%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.62%EV -9.41%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 15:04
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -2.72%E -0.725%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 14:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -6.83%E -3.52%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -2.72%E -0.725%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 15:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -6.83%E -3.52%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -2.72%E -0.725%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 15:04
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -9.71%E -5.16%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -2.72%E -0.725%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 15:27
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -9.71%E -5.16%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -2.72%E -0.725%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 15:29
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -11.15%E -6.03%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -2.72%E -0.725%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 15:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -11.15%E -6.03%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -2.72%E -0.725%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 15:20
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -3.69%E -0.996%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 15:29
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -4.91%E -2.48%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -6.61%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -2.39%E -0.636%K -0.867%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 15:25
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.61%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 14:44
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -12.11%E -6.62%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -6.61%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-08 14:53
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 15:19
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 15:25
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 15:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 15:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 15:29
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 15:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 15:29
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 15:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 15:29
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 15:19
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 15:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.31%E -3.79%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 15:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -2.98%E -1.48%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 15:19
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 15:09
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 15:19
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 15:19
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 15:24
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -10.19%E -5.45%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -3.69%E -0.996%K -1.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 15:18
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -10.19%E -5.45%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -3.69%E -0.996%K -1.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 15:19
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -12.80%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -8.75%E -4.60%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 15:24
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 15:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.39%EV -13.55%E -7.53%K -16.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.62%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.00%EV -12.80%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-08 15:29
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -5.39%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -13.09%E -3.91%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 15:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -8.75%E -4.60%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -13.09%E -3.91%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 15:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -13.09%E -3.91%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 15:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -13.09%E -3.91%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 15:29
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.48%EV -9.71%E -5.16%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -13.09%E -3.91%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 15:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.81%EV -11.15%E -6.03%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.56%EV -13.61%E -4.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 15:23
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.25%EV -5.87%E -2.99%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -14.39%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 15:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.64%EV -9.71%E -5.16%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -14.39%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 15:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -11.15%E -6.03%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -14.39%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-08 15:20
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -13.55%E -7.53%K -16.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -14.39%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-08 14:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -9.71%E -5.16%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -15.69%E -4.83%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -12.80%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-08 15:29
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.48%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-08-08 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-08-08 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-08-08 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-08-08 15:20
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.16%1.9%2026-08-08 15:25
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-08-08 15:00