语言:简体中文
Pogoń Szczecin v Motor Lublin
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Pogoń Szczecin (主队)
预测 48.03%2.08公平赔率
EV -2.98%
优势 -1.48%
Kelly -2.93%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.02
博彩公司预测分布
46.23%48.14%48.02%49.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.921.942.0255.56%51.98%51.55%49.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
Motor Lublin (客队)
预测 25.94%3.85公平赔率
EV +2.21%
优势 +0.561%
Kelly +0.752%
增长率 +0.017%
假设最高赔率为 3.94
博彩公司预测分布
24.06%25.81%26.03%27.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.523.453.9430.77%28.45%28.99%25.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 26.03%3.84公平赔率
EV -2.39%
优势 -0.636%
Kelly -0.867%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.75
博彩公司预测分布
24.59%26.05%25.95%27.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.513.503.7530.30%28.53%28.57%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Pogoń Szczecin (主队)：48.03%；Motor Lublin (客队)：25.94%；平局：26.03%。 对于“Motor Lublin (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.85。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.94，对应+2.21%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.25%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.37%EV +2.21%E +0.561%K +0.752%G +0.017% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.38%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV +1.17%E +0.301%K +0.405%G +0.005% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 14:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -1.42%E -0.374%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -10.19%E -5.45%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -1.42%E -0.374%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.15%E -6.03%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -1.42%E -0.374%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 15:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.75%EV -8.75%E -4.60%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.63%EV -2.46%E -0.654%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.62%EV -9.41%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 15:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -2.72%E -0.725%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 14:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -6.83%E -3.52%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -2.72%E -0.725%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 15:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -6.83%E -3.52%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -2.72%E -0.725%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 15:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -9.71%E -5.16%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -2.72%E -0.725%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 15:27 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -9.71%E -5.16%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -2.72%E -0.725%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -11.15%E -6.03%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -2.72%E -0.725%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 15:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -11.15%E -6.03%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -2.72%E -0.725%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 15:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -3.69%E -0.996%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -4.91%E -2.48%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -6.61%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -2.39%E -0.636%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 15:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.61%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 14:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -12.11%E -6.62%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -6.61%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-08 14:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 15:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 15:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 15:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.31%E -3.79%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 15:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -2.98%E -1.48%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 15:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 15:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -10.19%E -5.45%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -3.69%E -0.996%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 15:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -10.19%E -5.45%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -3.69%E -0.996%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -12.80%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 14:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -8.75%E -4.60%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 15:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-08 15:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.39%EV -13.55%E -7.53%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.62%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.00%EV -12.80%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -5.39%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -13.09%E -3.91%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -8.75%E -4.60%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -13.09%E -3.91%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 15:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -13.09%E -3.91%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -13.09%E -3.91%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.48%EV -9.71%E -5.16%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -13.09%E -3.91%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.81%EV -11.15%E -6.03%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.56%EV -13.61%E -4.09%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 15:23 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.25%EV -5.87%E -2.99%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -14.39%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.64%EV -9.71%E -5.16%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -14.39%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -11.15%E -6.03%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -14.39%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-08 15:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -13.55%E -7.53%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -14.39%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-08 14:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -9.71%E -5.16%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -15.69%E -4.83%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -12.80%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65% | 1.4% | 2026-08-08 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65% | 1.4% | 2026-08-08 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65% | 1.4% | 2026-08-08 15:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.31% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.16% | 1.9% | 2026-08-08 15:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 15:00 |