The School of Odds
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Piast Gliwice v Wieczysta Kraków

2026-08-15 15:30 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Piast Gliwice (Local)

Prediction 43.88%2.28fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.23%44.00%43.64%45.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.072.062.2251.28%48.24%48.54%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wieczysta Kraków (Visit)

Prediction 29.06%3.44fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.439%
Kelly -0.623%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.47%29.07%29.13%30.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.133.103.3934.48%31.92%32.26%29.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.06%3.69fair odd
EV +1.49%
Edge +0.397%
Kelly +0.542%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.01%26.92%27.23%28.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.423.403.7531.75%29.25%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Piast Gliwice (Local): 43.88%; Wieczysta Kraków (Visit): 29.06%; Draw: 27.06%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.69. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.75, producing a positive expected value of +1.49%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.09%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV +1.49%E +0.397%K +0.542%G +0.008%4.6%2026-08-12 13:49
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -10.05%E -4.90%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV +0.137%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-12 13:49
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -10.05%E -4.90%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -2.57%E -0.714%K -0.988%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-12 13:49
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -10.05%E -4.90%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -2.57%E -0.714%K -0.988%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-12 13:50
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -12.25%E -6.12%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -2.57%E -0.714%K -0.988%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-12 13:50
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.28%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 12:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -12.25%E -6.12%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.28%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-12 13:59
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.05%E -4.90%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -9.33%E -2.99%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -5.28%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-12 13:20
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.05%E -4.90%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -9.33%E -2.99%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -5.28%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-12 13:18
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.23%EV -2.59%E -1.17%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.44%EV -10.50%E -3.41%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -7.17%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-12 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 13:54
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.05%E -4.90%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-12 11:35
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-12 13:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-12 13:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-12 13:45
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-12 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -12.25%E -6.12%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-12 12:45
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -12.25%E -6.12%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-12 12:44
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.86%EV -8.74%E -4.20%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.53%EV -1.49%E -0.439%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -8.52%E -2.52%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 13:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.07%EV -9.61%E -4.67%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.47%EV -1.78%E -0.526%K -0.747%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.47%EV -8.52%E -2.52%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-12 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.57%EV -10.05%E -4.90%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.34%E -2.79%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-12 13:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -4.35%E -2.00%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -10.69%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-12 13:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -4.35%E -2.00%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -10.69%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-12 13:45
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -8.46%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.69%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-12 13:50
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -8.46%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.69%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-12 13:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.45%EV -8.74%E -4.20%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -10.69%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-12 13:50
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.18%EV -14.44%E -7.41%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.71%EV -15.73%E -5.42%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.11%EV -10.69%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-12 13:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.48%EV -11.37%E -5.63%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.08%EV -12.24%E -4.05%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -13.40%E -4.19%K -6.09%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-12 13:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 43.78%EV -12.69%E -6.37%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.56%EV -11.37%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.66%EV -14.75%E -4.68%K -6.86%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-12 14:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 42.08%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.83%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%7.0%2026-08-12 14:29
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 42.88%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.35%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%14.3%2026-08-12 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 39.98%2.64I 37.88%NM 30.89%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.13%22.6%2026-08-12 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 39.98%2.64I 37.88%NM 30.89%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.13%22.6%2026-08-12 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 39.98%2.64I 37.88%NM 30.89%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.13%22.6%2026-08-12 13:54

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