Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Piast Gliwice v Wieczysta Kraków

Início: 2026-08-15 15:30 UTC

Final: Piast Gliwice 3–4 Wieczysta Kraków

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Piast Gliwice (Local)

Previsão 42.44%2.36odd justa
EV -4.08%
Vantagem -1.81%
Kelly -3.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.46%42.51%42.40%43.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.022.152.152.2649.50%46.61%46.51%44.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Wieczysta Kraków (Visitante)

Previsão 30.83%3.24odd justa
EV -1.34%
Vantagem -0.418%
Kelly -0.607%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.12%30.82%30.77%31.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.753.023.003.2036.36%33.14%33.33%31.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.73%3.74odd justa
EV +0.227%
Vantagem +0.061%
Kelly +0.083%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.39%26.67%26.82%28.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.413.403.7530.77%29.31%29.41%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Piast Gliwice (Local): 42.44%; Wieczysta Kraków (Visitante): 30.83%; Empate: 26.73%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.74. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.227%.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.89%EV -7.90%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV +0.227%E +0.061%K +0.083%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 15:19
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.74%EV -3.49%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.50%EV -2.98%E -0.821%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 15:25
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.78%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 14:55
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -3.78%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.33%EV -5.78%E -2.60%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 15:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.33%EV -5.78%E -2.60%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 15:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 15:24
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -9.04%E -3.07%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 12:58
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 15:19
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 15:23
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 15:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 15:20
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.34%E -0.418%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 14:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.34%E -0.418%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 15:00
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.34%E -0.418%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.34%E -0.418%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 14:59
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.34%E -0.418%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 15:00
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.34%E -0.418%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 14:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.34%E -0.418%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.34%E -0.418%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 14:59
Bovada🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -7.90%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 15:22
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 12:59
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 12:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 15:24
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:04
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 14:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 14:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 15:00
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 15:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.99%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.46%EV -11.51%E -4.01%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 12:54
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.99%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.46%EV -11.51%E -4.01%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 12:55
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 15:20
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -13.00%E -6.34%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -15.21%E -5.53%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-15 15:10
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.03%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.87%EV -1.95%E -0.614%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.10%EV -9.66%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 15:24
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:00
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 41.73%EV -7.06%E -3.22%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.98%EV -9.04%E -3.07%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 13:04
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 15:24
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -11.72%E -5.64%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 15:00
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 15:24
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 15:23
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 15:24
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.48%EV -12.57%E -6.10%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 15:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.18%EV -14.27%E -7.06%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.39%EV -11.51%E -4.01%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-15 15:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.26%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.14%EV -12.60%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 15:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.54%EV -13.42%E -6.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.14%E -4.04%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-15 15:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.54%EV -13.42%E -6.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.14%E -4.04%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-15 15:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.54%EV -13.42%E -6.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.14%E -4.04%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-15 15:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.54%EV -13.42%E -6.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.14%E -4.04%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-15 15:20
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.14%E -4.04%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 15:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-08-15 15:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-08-15 15:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-08-15 15:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-08-15 15:25
Matchbook◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-08-15 15:24
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-08-15 14:55