Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Piast Gliwice v Wieczysta Kraków

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 15:30 UTC

Score final : Piast Gliwice 3–4 Wieczysta Kraków

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Piast Gliwice (Local)

Prévision 42.44%2.36cote équitable
EV -4.08%
Avantage -1.81%
Kelly -3.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.46%42.51%42.40%43.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.022.152.152.2649.50%46.61%46.51%44.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Wieczysta Kraków (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.83%3.24cote équitable
EV -1.34%
Avantage -0.418%
Kelly -0.607%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.12%30.82%30.77%31.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.753.023.003.2036.36%33.14%33.33%31.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.73%3.74cote équitable
EV +0.227%
Avantage +0.061%
Kelly +0.083%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.39%26.67%26.82%28.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.413.403.7530.77%29.31%29.41%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Piast Gliwice (Local) : 42.44% ; Wieczysta Kraków (Visiteur) : 30.83% ; Match nul : 26.73%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.74. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.75, soit une espérance positive de +0.227%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.89%EV -7.90%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV +0.227%E +0.061%K +0.083%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 15:19
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.74%EV -3.49%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.50%EV -2.98%E -0.821%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 15:25
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.78%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 14:55
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -3.78%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.33%EV -5.78%E -2.60%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 15:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.33%EV -5.78%E -2.60%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 15:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 15:24
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -9.04%E -3.07%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 12:58
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 15:19
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 15:23
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 15:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 15:20
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.34%E -0.418%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 14:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.34%E -0.418%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 15:00
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.34%E -0.418%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.34%E -0.418%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 14:59
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.34%E -0.418%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 15:00
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.34%E -0.418%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 14:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.34%E -0.418%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.34%E -0.418%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 14:59
Bovada🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -7.90%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 15:22
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 12:59
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 12:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 15:24
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:04
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 14:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 14:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 15:00
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 15:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.99%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.46%EV -11.51%E -4.01%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 12:54
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.99%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.46%EV -11.51%E -4.01%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 12:55
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 15:20
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -13.00%E -6.34%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -15.21%E -5.53%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-15 15:10
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.03%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.87%EV -1.95%E -0.614%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.10%EV -9.66%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 15:24
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:00
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 41.73%EV -7.06%E -3.22%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.98%EV -9.04%E -3.07%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 13:04
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 15:24
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -11.72%E -5.64%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 15:00
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 15:24
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 15:23
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 15:24
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.48%EV -12.57%E -6.10%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 15:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.18%EV -14.27%E -7.06%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.39%EV -11.51%E -4.01%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-15 15:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.26%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.14%EV -12.60%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 15:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.54%EV -13.42%E -6.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.14%E -4.04%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-15 15:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.54%EV -13.42%E -6.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.14%E -4.04%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-15 15:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.54%EV -13.42%E -6.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.14%E -4.04%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-15 15:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.54%EV -13.42%E -6.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.14%E -4.04%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-15 15:20
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.14%E -4.04%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 15:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-08-15 15:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-08-15 15:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-08-15 15:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-08-15 15:25
Matchbook◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-08-15 15:24
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-08-15 14:55