Idioma:Español
Piast Gliwice v Wieczysta Kraków
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Piast Gliwice (Local)
Predicción 42.44%2.36momio equitativo
EV -4.08%
Ventaja -1.81%
Kelly -3.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.46%42.51%42.40%43.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.022.152.152.2649.50%46.61%46.51%44.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Wieczysta Kraków (Visitante)
Predicción 30.83%3.24momio equitativo
EV -1.34%
Ventaja -0.418%
Kelly -0.607%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.12%30.82%30.77%31.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.753.023.003.2036.36%33.14%33.33%31.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.73%3.74momio equitativo
EV +0.227%
Ventaja +0.061%
Kelly +0.083%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.39%26.67%26.82%28.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.413.403.7530.77%29.31%29.41%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Piast Gliwice (Local): 42.44%; Wieczysta Kraków (Visitante): 30.83%; Empate: 26.73%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.74. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.227%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.89%EV -7.90%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV +0.227%E +0.061%K +0.083%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 15:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.74%EV -3.49%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.50%EV -2.98%E -0.821%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 15:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.78%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -3.78%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.33%EV -5.78%E -2.60%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 15:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.33%EV -5.78%E -2.60%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 15:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 15:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -9.04%E -3.07%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 12:58 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 15:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 15:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 15:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 15:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.34%E -0.418%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.34%E -0.418%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.34%E -0.418%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.34%E -0.418%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.34%E -0.418%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.34%E -0.418%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.34%E -0.418%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.34%E -0.418%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -7.90%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 15:22 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 12:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 15:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 12:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 15:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 13:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 15:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.99%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.46%EV -11.51%E -4.01%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-15 12:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.99%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.46%EV -11.51%E -4.01%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-15 12:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 15:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -13.00%E -6.34%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -15.21%E -5.53%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -9.13%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-15 15:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.03%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.87%EV -1.95%E -0.614%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.10%EV -9.66%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 15:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 13:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 13:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.73%EV -7.06%E -3.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.98%EV -9.04%E -3.07%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 13:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 15:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -11.72%E -5.64%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 15:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 15:23 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 15:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.48%EV -12.57%E -6.10%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-15 15:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.18%EV -14.27%E -7.06%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.39%EV -11.51%E -4.01%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-08-15 15:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.26%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.14%EV -12.60%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-15 15:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.54%EV -13.42%E -6.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.14%E -4.04%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-15 15:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.54%EV -13.42%E -6.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.14%E -4.04%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-15 15:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.54%EV -13.42%E -6.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.14%E -4.04%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-15 15:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.54%EV -13.42%E -6.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.14%E -4.04%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-15 15:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.14%E -4.04%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-15 15:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 15:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 15:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 15:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 15:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 15:24 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |