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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Piast Gliwice v Wieczysta Kraków

2026-08-15 15:30 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

胜负盘

31 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Piast Gliwice (主队)

预测 44.41%2.25公平赔率
EV -4.51%
优势 -2.10%
Kelly -3.92%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.15

博彩公司预测分布
43.15%44.45%44.41%45.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.062.052.1551.28%48.48%48.78%46.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

Wieczysta Kraków (客队)

预测 28.85%3.47公平赔率
EV -0.479%
优势 -0.139%
Kelly -0.195%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.45

博彩公司预测分布
27.47%28.85%28.93%30.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.143.103.4534.48%31.80%32.26%28.99%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.74%3.74公平赔率
EV +0.271%
优势 +0.072%
Kelly +0.099%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.75

博彩公司预测分布
25.01%26.70%26.66%27.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.443.403.7531.25%29.06%29.41%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Piast Gliwice (主队)：44.41%；Wieczysta Kraków (客队)：28.85%；平局：26.74%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.74。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为3.75，由此产生+0.271%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.09%EV -5.84%E -2.76%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV +0.271%E +0.072%K +0.099%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 13:49
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -1.07%E -0.288%K -0.395%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-12 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -1.07%E -0.288%K -0.395%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-12 14:44
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.73%E -3.20%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-12 14:52
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-12 13:49
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-12 13:50
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-12 13:50
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.58%EV -7.62%E -3.66%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.48%EV -0.479%E -0.139%K -0.195%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.94%EV -5.88%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 14:50
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-12 14:59
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-12 14:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-12 13:59
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -10.00%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-12 13:20
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -10.00%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-12 13:18
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -4.51%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 13:54
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.73%E -3.20%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-12 13:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.73%E -3.20%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-12 13:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.73%E -3.20%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-12 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-12 14:55
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-12 14:54
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.86%EV -7.62%E -3.66%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.53%EV -2.21%E -0.652%K -0.925%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -9.62%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 13:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.07%EV -8.51%E -4.13%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.47%EV -2.50%E -0.739%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.47%EV -9.62%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-12 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -7.62%E -3.66%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-12 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -7.62%E -3.66%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-12 14:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.57%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-12 13:49
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.73%E -3.20%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.76%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-12 15:03
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -5.84%E -2.76%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.76%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-12 13:50
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -5.84%E -2.76%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.76%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-12 13:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.45%EV -7.62%E -3.66%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -11.76%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-12 13:50
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.18%EV -13.39%E -6.87%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.71%EV -16.34%E -5.64%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.11%EV -11.76%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-12 13:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.48%EV -10.28%E -5.09%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.08%EV -12.88%E -4.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -14.44%E -4.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-12 13:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.67%EV -13.39%E -6.87%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -14.44%E -4.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-12 14:50
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 45.76%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.59%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.66%5.1%2026-08-12 15:05
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 42.88%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.35%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%14.3%2026-08-12 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 33.33%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.33%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.33%175.2%2026-08-12 15:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 33.33%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.33%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.33%175.2%2026-08-12 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 33.33%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.33%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.33%175.2%2026-08-12 15:15

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