Language:English
Piast Gliwice v Legia Warszawa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Piast Gliwice (Local)
Prediction 26.43%3.78fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -0.520%
Kelly -0.712%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.49%26.54%26.47%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.403.403.7131.75%29.40%29.41%26.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Legia Warszawa (Visit)
Prediction 46.55%2.15fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -2.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.64%46.46%46.51%48.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.981.992.1053.19%50.40%50.25%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.02%3.70fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -0.763%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.14%27.00%27.02%27.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.373.353.6031.25%29.70%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Piast Gliwice (Local): 26.43%; Legia Warszawa (Visit): 46.55%; Draw: 27.02%. For Piast Gliwice (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.78. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.71, with an expected value of -1.93%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.92%EV -1.93%E -0.520%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.37%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.71%EV -2.75%E -0.763%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -2.75%E -0.763%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 15:13 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 13:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -11.55%E -6.08%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 14:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.17%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.24%EV -7.61%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -6.16%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.97%EV -7.36%E -3.70%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -6.16%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.97%EV -7.36%E -3.70%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -6.16%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.97%EV -7.36%E -3.70%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -6.16%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.80%EV -7.83%E -3.95%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -7.61%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.16%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.80%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 04:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 12:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 14:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 14:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 14:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 14:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -8.76%E -4.47%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-22 13:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 04:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 04:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.80%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.64%EV -6.43%E -3.20%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 04:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -11.09%E -5.81%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -11.09%E -5.81%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.45%E -3.42%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.34%EV -11.09%E -5.81%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -11.45%E -3.42%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -12.48%E -6.64%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 15:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.82%EV -7.83%E -3.95%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 04:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.28%EV -10.16%E -5.26%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.73%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.70%EV -10.16%E -5.26%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -13.55%E -4.23%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -11.09%E -5.81%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -14.09%E -4.34%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -14.09%E -4.34%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.70%EV -8.76%E -4.47%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-22 04:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -14.09%E -4.34%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -11.09%E -5.81%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-22 12:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -15.41%E -4.82%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -16.73%E -5.31%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -7.83%E -3.95%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -16.73%E -5.31%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -7.83%E -3.95%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -16.73%E -5.31%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.81%EV -8.30%E -4.21%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -16.73%E -5.31%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.81%EV -8.30%E -4.21%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65% | 1.4% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65% | 1.4% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65% | 1.4% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.74% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.47% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.79% | 2.3% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.37% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.90% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73% | 2.5% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |