StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Piast Gliwice v Legia Warszawa

Matchstart: 2026-08-22 15:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Piast Gliwice 1–1 Legia Warszawa

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

53 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Piast Gliwice (Hemma)

Prognos 26.43%3.78rättvist odds
EV -1.93%
Fördel -0.520%
Kelly -0.712%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.71

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.49%26.54%26.47%28.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.153.403.403.7131.75%29.40%29.41%26.95%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Legia Warszawa (Borta)

Prognos 46.55%2.15rättvist odds
EV -2.24%
Fördel -1.07%
Kelly -2.04%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
44.64%46.46%46.51%48.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.881.981.992.1053.19%50.40%50.25%47.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.02%3.70rättvist odds
EV -2.75%
Fördel -0.763%
Kelly -1.06%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.14%27.00%27.02%27.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.203.373.353.6031.25%29.70%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Piast Gliwice (Hemma): 26.43%; Legia Warszawa (Borta): 46.55%; Oavgjort: 27.02%. För Piast Gliwice (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.78. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.71, med väntevärdet -1.93%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (53 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯3.71I 26.95%NM 25.92%EV -1.93%E -0.520%K -0.712%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.37%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.71%EV -2.75%E -0.763%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-22 15:00
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -2.75%E -0.763%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 15:05
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 15:13
DraftKings🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 13:30
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -11.55%E -6.08%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:34
1xBet🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 26.17%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.24%EV -7.61%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -6.16%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.97%EV -7.36%E -3.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 14:59
BetOnline.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -6.16%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.97%EV -7.36%E -3.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 15:00
BetUS🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -6.16%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.97%EV -7.36%E -3.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -6.16%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.80%EV -7.83%E -3.95%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -7.61%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 15:20
Bovada🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.16%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.80%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 15:19
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 04:24
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 12:09
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 14:59
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 14:14
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -8.76%E -4.47%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 15:15
betano_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 13:53
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 13:54
PlayUp🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 15:20
NordicBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 04:24
Betsson🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 04:24
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.80%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 15:05
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 11:20
Codere (IT)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 45.64%EV -6.43%E -3.20%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 04:30
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 15:05
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -11.09%E -5.81%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 15:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -11.09%E -5.81%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 15:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.45%E -3.42%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.34%EV -11.09%E -5.81%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 15:19
NetBet (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -11.45%E -3.42%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -12.48%E -6.64%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-22 13:50
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 15:09
Unibet (NL)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 15:00
Casumo🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 15:05
Grosvenor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 15:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 15:05
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 15:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 15:05
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.82%EV -7.83%E -3.95%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 04:24
Bet Right🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.28%EV -10.16%E -5.26%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 15:00
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.73%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.70%EV -10.16%E -5.26%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -13.55%E -4.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-22 15:05
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -11.09%E -5.81%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-22 15:15
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -14.09%E -4.34%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 15:05
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -14.09%E -4.34%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.70%EV -8.76%E -4.47%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-22 04:24
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -14.09%E -4.34%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -11.09%E -5.81%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 12:59
TABtouch🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -15.41%E -4.82%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -16.73%E -5.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -7.83%E -3.95%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -16.73%E -5.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -7.83%E -3.95%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 15:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -16.73%E -5.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.81%EV -8.30%E -4.21%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-22 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -16.73%E -5.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.81%EV -8.30%E -4.21%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-22 15:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-22 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-08-22 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-08-22 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-08-22 15:05
Matchbook◎3.80I 26.32%NM 25.74%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.79%2.3%2026-08-22 15:20
Smarkets◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.37%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.90%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73%2.5%2026-08-22 15:20