Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Piast Gliwice v Legia Warszawa

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-22 15:30 UTC

Score final : Piast Gliwice 1–1 Legia Warszawa

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Piast Gliwice (Local)

Prévision 26.43%3.78cote équitable
EV -1.93%
Avantage -0.520%
Kelly -0.712%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.49%26.54%26.47%28.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.153.403.403.7131.75%29.40%29.41%26.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Legia Warszawa (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.55%2.15cote équitable
EV -2.24%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -2.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.64%46.46%46.51%48.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.881.981.992.1053.19%50.40%50.25%47.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.02%3.70cote équitable
EV -2.75%
Avantage -0.763%
Kelly -1.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.14%27.00%27.02%27.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.373.353.6031.25%29.70%29.85%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Piast Gliwice (Local) : 26.43% ; Legia Warszawa (Visiteur) : 46.55% ; Match nul : 27.02%. Pour Piast Gliwice (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.78. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.71, pour une espérance de -1.93% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯3.71I 26.95%NM 25.92%EV -1.93%E -0.520%K -0.712%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.37%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.71%EV -2.75%E -0.763%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-22 15:00
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -2.75%E -0.763%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 15:05
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 15:13
DraftKings🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 13:30
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -11.55%E -6.08%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:34
1xBet🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 26.17%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.24%EV -7.61%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -6.16%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.97%EV -7.36%E -3.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 14:59
BetOnline.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -6.16%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.97%EV -7.36%E -3.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 15:00
BetUS🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -6.16%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.97%EV -7.36%E -3.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -6.16%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.80%EV -7.83%E -3.95%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -7.61%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 15:20
Bovada🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.16%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.80%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 15:19
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 04:24
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 12:09
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 14:59
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 14:14
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -8.76%E -4.47%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 15:15
betano_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 13:53
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 13:54
PlayUp🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 15:20
NordicBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 04:24
Betsson🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 04:24
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.80%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 15:05
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 11:20
Codere (IT)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 45.64%EV -6.43%E -3.20%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 04:30
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 15:05
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -11.09%E -5.81%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 15:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -11.09%E -5.81%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 15:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.45%E -3.42%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.34%EV -11.09%E -5.81%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 15:19
NetBet (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -11.45%E -3.42%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -12.48%E -6.64%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-22 13:50
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 15:09
Unibet (NL)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 15:00
Casumo🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 15:05
Grosvenor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 15:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 15:05
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 15:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 15:05
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.82%EV -7.83%E -3.95%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 04:24
Bet Right🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.28%EV -10.16%E -5.26%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 15:00
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.73%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.70%EV -10.16%E -5.26%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -13.55%E -4.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-22 15:05
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -11.09%E -5.81%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-22 15:15
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -14.09%E -4.34%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 15:05
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -14.09%E -4.34%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.70%EV -8.76%E -4.47%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-22 04:24
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -14.09%E -4.34%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -11.09%E -5.81%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 12:59
TABtouch🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -15.41%E -4.82%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -16.73%E -5.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -7.83%E -3.95%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -16.73%E -5.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -7.83%E -3.95%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 15:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -16.73%E -5.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.81%EV -8.30%E -4.21%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-22 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -16.73%E -5.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.81%EV -8.30%E -4.21%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-22 15:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-22 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-08-22 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-08-22 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-08-22 15:05
Matchbook◎3.80I 26.32%NM 25.74%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.79%2.3%2026-08-22 15:20
Smarkets◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.37%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.90%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73%2.5%2026-08-22 15:20