Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.71
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Piast Gliwice (Local): 26.43%; Legia Warszawa (Visitante): 46.55%; Empate: 27.02%. Para Piast Gliwice (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.78. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.71, con un valor esperado de -1.93%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.92%EV -1.93%E -0.520%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.37%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.71%EV -2.75%E -0.763%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -2.75%E -0.763%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 15:13 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 13:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -11.55%E -6.08%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 14:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.17%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.24%EV -7.61%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -6.16%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.97%EV -7.36%E -3.70%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -6.16%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.97%EV -7.36%E -3.70%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -6.16%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.97%EV -7.36%E -3.70%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -6.16%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.80%EV -7.83%E -3.95%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -7.61%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.16%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.80%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 04:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 12:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 14:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 14:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 14:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 14:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -8.76%E -4.47%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-22 13:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 04:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 04:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.80%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.64%EV -6.43%E -3.20%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 04:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -11.09%E -5.81%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -11.09%E -5.81%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.45%E -3.42%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.34%EV -11.09%E -5.81%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -11.45%E -3.42%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -12.48%E -6.64%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 15:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.82%EV -7.83%E -3.95%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 04:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.28%EV -10.16%E -5.26%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.73%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.70%EV -10.16%E -5.26%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -13.55%E -4.23%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -11.09%E -5.81%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -14.09%E -4.34%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -14.09%E -4.34%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.70%EV -8.76%E -4.47%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-22 04:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -14.09%E -4.34%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -11.09%E -5.81%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-22 12:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -15.41%E -4.82%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -16.73%E -5.31%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -7.83%E -3.95%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -16.73%E -5.31%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -7.83%E -3.95%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -16.73%E -5.31%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.81%EV -8.30%E -4.21%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -16.73%E -5.31%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.81%EV -8.30%E -4.21%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65% | 1.4% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65% | 1.4% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65% | 1.4% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.74% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.47% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.79% | 2.3% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.37% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.90% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73% | 2.5% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |