默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Piast Gliwice v Legia Warszawa

开赛时间: 2026-08-22 15:30 UTC

最终结果: Piast Gliwice 1–1 Legia Warszawa

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

53 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Piast Gliwice (主队)

预测 26.43%3.78公平赔率
EV -1.93%
优势 -0.520%
Kelly -0.712%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.71

博彩公司预测分布
25.49%26.54%26.47%28.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.153.403.403.7131.75%29.40%29.41%26.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

Legia Warszawa (客队)

预测 46.55%2.15公平赔率
EV -2.24%
优势 -1.07%
Kelly -2.04%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布
44.64%46.46%46.51%48.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.881.981.992.1053.19%50.40%50.25%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.02%3.70公平赔率
EV -2.75%
优势 -0.763%
Kelly -1.06%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
26.14%27.00%27.02%27.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.373.353.6031.25%29.70%29.85%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Piast Gliwice (主队):26.43%;Legia Warszawa (客队):46.55%;平局:27.02%。 对于“Piast Gliwice (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.78。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.71,期望值为-1.93%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯3.71I 26.95%NM 25.92%EV -1.93%E -0.520%K -0.712%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.37%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.71%EV -2.75%E -0.763%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-22 15:00
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -2.75%E -0.763%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 15:05
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 15:13
DraftKings🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 13:30
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -11.55%E -6.08%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:34
1xBet🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 26.17%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.24%EV -7.61%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -6.16%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.97%EV -7.36%E -3.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 14:59
BetOnline.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -6.16%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.97%EV -7.36%E -3.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 15:00
BetUS🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -6.16%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.97%EV -7.36%E -3.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -6.16%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.80%EV -7.83%E -3.95%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -7.61%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 15:20
Bovada🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.16%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.80%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 15:19
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 04:24
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 12:09
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 14:59
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 14:14
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -8.76%E -4.47%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 15:15
betano_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 13:53
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 13:54
PlayUp🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 15:20
NordicBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 04:24
Betsson🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 04:24
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.80%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 15:05
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 11:20
Codere (IT)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 45.64%EV -6.43%E -3.20%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 04:30
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 15:05
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -11.09%E -5.81%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 15:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -11.09%E -5.81%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 15:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.45%E -3.42%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.34%EV -11.09%E -5.81%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 15:19
NetBet (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -11.45%E -3.42%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -12.48%E -6.64%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-22 13:50
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 15:09
Unibet (NL)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 15:00
Casumo🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 15:05
Grosvenor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 15:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 15:05
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 15:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 15:05
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.82%EV -7.83%E -3.95%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 04:24
Bet Right🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.28%EV -10.16%E -5.26%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 15:00
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.73%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.70%EV -10.16%E -5.26%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -13.55%E -4.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-22 15:05
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -11.09%E -5.81%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-22 15:15
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -14.09%E -4.34%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 15:05
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -14.09%E -4.34%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.70%EV -8.76%E -4.47%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-22 04:24
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -14.09%E -4.34%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -11.09%E -5.81%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 12:59
TABtouch🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -15.41%E -4.82%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -16.73%E -5.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -7.83%E -3.95%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -16.73%E -5.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -7.83%E -3.95%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 15:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -16.73%E -5.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.81%EV -8.30%E -4.21%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-22 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -16.73%E -5.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.81%EV -8.30%E -4.21%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-22 15:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-22 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-08-22 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-08-22 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-08-22 15:05
Matchbook◎3.80I 26.32%NM 25.74%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.79%2.3%2026-08-22 15:20
Smarkets◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.37%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.90%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73%2.5%2026-08-22 15:20