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Nieciecza v Legia Warszawa
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Nieciecza (Хозяева)
Прогноз 19.51%5.12справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.46%
Преимущество +0.282%
Kelly +0.349%
Рост +0.005%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.20
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.95%19.44%19.55%20.64%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.304.704.695.2023.26%21.30%21.34%19.23%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Legia Warszawa (Гости)
Прогноз 57.02%1.75справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.50%
Преимущество -1.46%
Kelly -3.52%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.71
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
54.73%57.05%56.94%58.71%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.531.621.621.7165.36%61.89%61.92%58.48%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 23.47%4.26справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.42%
Преимущество -0.338%
Kelly -0.444%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.20
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.78%23.51%23.52%24.74%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.503.883.904.2028.57%25.78%25.64%23.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Nieciecza (Хозяева): 19.51%; Legia Warszawa (Гости): 57.02%; Ничья: 23.47%. Для исхода «Nieciecza (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.12. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.20, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.46%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (46 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV +1.46%E +0.282%K +0.349%G +0.005% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -9.34%E -5.88%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 15:28 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.48%EV +1.27%E +0.245%K +0.303%G +0.004% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.43%EV -4.78%E -2.86%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.10%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -0.487%E -0.095%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -0.487%E -0.095%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV -2.44%E -0.488%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.04%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -1.42%E -0.338%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -2.44%E -0.488%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 15:28 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -2.44%E -0.488%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -10.48%E -6.68%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.60%EV -3.41%E -0.690%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.20%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 15:21 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -4.39%E -0.896%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.77%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.34%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -5.35%E -3.22%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.34%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -5.35%E -3.22%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.32%EV -6.34%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.90%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 15:28 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -6.34%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -8.77%E -5.48%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -6.34%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.20%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -13.16%E -3.56%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -7.32%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.32%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -7.63%E -4.71%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -7.32%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -8.20%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -7.32%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -10.48%E -6.68%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -8.29%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -4.21%E -2.51%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 15:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.29%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -6.49%E -3.96%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 15:26 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.29%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -6.49%E -3.96%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.29%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -6.49%E -3.96%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.65%EV -8.29%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.67%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.34%EV -8.88%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.55%EV -2.50%E -1.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.11%EV -7.52%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.02%EV -9.27%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.42%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.02%EV -9.27%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.42%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -7.63%E -4.71%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.20%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-10 15:28 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -8.20%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -9.64%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -8.20%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -9.64%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -8.77%E -5.48%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-10 15:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -8.77%E -5.48%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -10.48%E -6.68%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.98%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-10 15:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -12.19%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -8.77%E -5.48%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -12.19%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.42%EV -9.91%E -6.27%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -11.98%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -12.19%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.73%EV -11.05%E -7.09%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -11.98%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -12.19%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.40%EV -12.19%E -7.92%K -22.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.96%EV -9.64%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-10 15:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -12.19%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.55%EV -11.05%E -7.09%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.84%EV -13.16%E -3.56%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -12.19%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -12.76%E -8.34%K -24.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -17.85%E -5.10%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -14.15%E -3.21%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -14.33%E -3.93%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -15.51%E -3.58%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.77%E -5.48%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-10 15:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -15.51%E -3.58%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.77%E -5.48%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -15.51%E -3.58%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.14%EV -10.48%E -6.68%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -11.98%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-10 15:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.46%EV -16.10%E -3.74%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.39%EV -11.05%E -7.09%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.15%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.44% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38% | 1.9% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.44% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38% | 1.9% | 2026-05-10 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.44% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38% | 1.9% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.44% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38% | 1.9% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.12% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30% | 2.2% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |