مدرسة الاحتمالات

Nieciecza v Legia Warszawa

البداية: 2026-05-10 15:32 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Nieciecza 0–1 Legia Warszawa

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Nieciecza (المضيف)

التنبؤ 19.51%5.12السعر العادل
EV +1.46%
الأفضلية +0.282%
Kelly +0.349%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.95%19.44%19.55%20.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.304.704.695.2023.26%21.30%21.34%19.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Legia Warszawa (الضيف)

التنبؤ 57.02%1.75السعر العادل
EV -2.50%
الأفضلية -1.46%
Kelly -3.52%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.71

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.73%57.05%56.94%58.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.531.621.621.7165.36%61.89%61.92%58.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.47%4.26السعر العادل
EV -1.42%
الأفضلية -0.338%
Kelly -0.444%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.78%23.51%23.52%24.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.503.883.904.2028.57%25.78%25.64%23.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV +1.46%E +0.282%K +0.349%G +0.005%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -9.34%E -5.88%K -15.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 15:28
Pinnacle5.19I 19.27%NM 18.48%EV +1.27%E +0.245%K +0.303%G +0.004%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.43%EV -4.78%E -2.86%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.10%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 15:29
LowVig.ag5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -0.487%E -0.095%K -0.119%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 15:29
BetOnline.ag5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -0.487%E -0.095%K -0.119%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 15:29
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV -2.44%E -0.488%K -0.609%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.04%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -1.42%E -0.338%K -0.444%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 15:29
DraftKings5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -2.44%E -0.488%K -0.609%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 15:28
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -2.44%E -0.488%K -0.609%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -10.48%E -6.68%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 15:29
Bovada4.95I 20.20%NM 18.60%EV -3.41%E -0.690%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.20%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 15:21
BetUS4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -4.39%E -0.896%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.77%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 15:29
Unibet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.34%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -5.35%E -3.22%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 15:29
Unibet (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.34%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -5.35%E -3.22%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 15:29
Marathon Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.32%EV -6.34%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.90%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 15:28
Tipico (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -6.34%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -8.77%E -5.48%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 15:29
888sport4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -6.34%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.20%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -13.16%E -3.56%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 15:29
Unibet (UK)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -7.32%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 15:29
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.32%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -7.63%E -4.71%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 15:29
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -7.32%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -8.20%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 15:29
Paddy Power4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -7.32%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -10.48%E -6.68%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 15:29
Unibet (NL)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -8.29%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -4.21%E -2.51%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 15:30
BetRivers4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.29%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -6.49%E -3.96%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 15:26
Casumo4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.29%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -6.49%E -3.96%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 15:29
Grosvenor4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.29%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -6.49%E -3.96%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 15:29
TABtouch4.70I 21.28%NM 19.65%EV -8.29%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.67%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 15:29
1xBet4.67I 21.41%NM 20.34%EV -8.88%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.55%EV -2.50%E -1.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.11%EV -7.52%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:29
NordicBet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.02%EV -9.27%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.42%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 15:29
Betsson4.65I 21.51%NM 20.02%EV -9.27%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.42%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 15:29
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 15:29
betfred_uk4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -7.63%E -4.71%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 15:29
Codere (IT)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 15:29
Bet Victor4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.20%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-10 15:28
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -8.20%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -9.64%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 15:29
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -8.20%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -9.64%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 15:29
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -8.77%E -5.48%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-10 15:30
Betr (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -8.77%E -5.48%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-10 15:29
Sky Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -10.48%E -6.68%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.98%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-10 15:30
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -12.19%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -8.77%E -5.48%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-10 15:29
Bet Right4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -12.19%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.42%EV -9.91%E -6.27%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -11.98%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-10 15:29
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -12.19%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.73%EV -11.05%E -7.09%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -11.98%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-10 15:29
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -12.19%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.40%EV -12.19%E -7.92%K -22.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.96%EV -9.64%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-10 15:24
PMU (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -12.19%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.55%EV -11.05%E -7.09%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.84%EV -13.16%E -3.56%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-10 15:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -12.19%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -12.76%E -8.34%K -24.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -17.85%E -5.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-10 15:29
PlayUp4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -14.15%E -3.21%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -14.33%E -3.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -15.51%E -3.58%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.77%E -5.48%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 15:30
Coral4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -15.51%E -3.58%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.77%E -5.48%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 15:29
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -15.51%E -3.58%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.14%EV -10.48%E -6.68%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -11.98%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-10 15:30
Winamax (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.46%EV -16.10%E -3.74%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.39%EV -11.05%E -7.09%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.15%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-10 15:29
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38%1.9%2026-05-10 15:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38%1.9%2026-05-10 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38%1.9%2026-05-10 15:29
Matchbook5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38%1.9%2026-05-10 15:29
Smarkets5.40I 18.52%NM 18.12%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%2.2%2026-05-10 15:29