La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Nieciecza v Legia Warszawa
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nieciecza (Local)
Predicción 19.51%5.12momio equitativo
EV +1.46%
Ventaja +0.282%
Kelly +0.349%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.95%19.44%19.55%20.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.304.704.695.2023.26%21.30%21.34%19.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Legia Warszawa (Visitante)
Predicción 57.02%1.75momio equitativo
EV -2.50%
Ventaja -1.46%
Kelly -3.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.73%57.05%56.94%58.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.621.621.7165.36%61.89%61.92%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.47%4.26momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.338%
Kelly -0.444%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.78%23.51%23.52%24.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.883.904.2028.57%25.78%25.64%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV +1.46%E +0.282%K +0.349%G +0.005% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -9.34%E -5.88%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 15:28 |
| Pinnacle | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.48%EV +1.27%E +0.245%K +0.303%G +0.004% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.43%EV -4.78%E -2.86%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.10%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -0.487%E -0.095%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -0.487%E -0.095%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Coolbet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV -2.44%E -0.488%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.04%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -1.42%E -0.338%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| DraftKings | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -2.44%E -0.488%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 15:28 |
| SportsBet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -2.44%E -0.488%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -10.48%E -6.68%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Bovada | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.60%EV -3.41%E -0.690%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.20%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 15:21 |
| BetUS | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -4.39%E -0.896%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.77%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Unibet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.34%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -5.35%E -3.22%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.34%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -5.35%E -3.22%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.32%EV -6.34%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.90%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 15:28 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -6.34%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -8.77%E -5.48%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| 888sport | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -6.34%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.20%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -13.16%E -3.56%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -7.32%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Fanatics | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.32%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -7.63%E -4.71%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Betway | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -7.32%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -8.20%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Paddy Power | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -7.32%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -10.48%E -6.68%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -8.29%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -4.21%E -2.51%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 15:30 |
| BetRivers | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.29%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -6.49%E -3.96%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 15:26 |
| Casumo | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.29%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -6.49%E -3.96%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Grosvenor | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.29%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -6.49%E -3.96%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| TABtouch | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.65%EV -8.29%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.67%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| 1xBet | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.34%EV -8.88%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.55%EV -2.50%E -1.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.11%EV -7.52%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| NordicBet | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.02%EV -9.27%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.42%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Betsson | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.02%EV -9.27%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.42%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| BetMGM | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| betfred_uk | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -7.63%E -4.71%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Bet Victor | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.20%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-10 15:28 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -8.20%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -9.64%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -8.20%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -9.64%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -8.77%E -5.48%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-10 15:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -8.77%E -5.48%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Sky Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -10.48%E -6.68%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.98%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-10 15:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -12.19%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -8.77%E -5.48%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Bet Right | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -12.19%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.42%EV -9.91%E -6.27%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -11.98%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| LeoVegas | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -12.19%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.73%EV -11.05%E -7.09%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -11.98%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -12.19%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.40%EV -12.19%E -7.92%K -22.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.96%EV -9.64%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-10 15:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -12.19%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.55%EV -11.05%E -7.09%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.84%EV -13.16%E -3.56%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -12.19%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -12.76%E -8.34%K -24.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -17.85%E -5.10%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| PlayUp | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -14.15%E -3.21%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -14.33%E -3.93%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -15.51%E -3.58%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.77%E -5.48%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-10 15:30 |
| Coral | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -15.51%E -3.58%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.77%E -5.48%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| BoyleSports | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -15.51%E -3.58%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.14%EV -10.48%E -6.68%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -11.98%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-10 15:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.46%EV -16.10%E -3.74%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.39%EV -11.05%E -7.09%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.15%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.44% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38% | 1.9% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.44% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38% | 1.9% | 2026-05-10 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.44% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38% | 1.9% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Matchbook | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.44% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38% | 1.9% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Smarkets | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.12% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30% | 2.2% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |