StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Nieciecza v Legia Warszawa

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-10 15:32 UTC

Endstand: Nieciecza 0–1 Legia Warszawa

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

46 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Nieciecza (Heim)

Prognose 19.51%5.12faire Quote
EV +1.46%
Vorteil +0.282%
Kelly +0.349%
Wachstum +0.005%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
17.95%19.44%19.55%20.64%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.304.704.695.2023.26%21.30%21.34%19.23%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Legia Warszawa (Auswärts)

Prognose 57.02%1.75faire Quote
EV -2.50%
Vorteil -1.46%
Kelly -3.52%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.71

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.73%57.05%56.94%58.71%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.531.621.621.7165.36%61.89%61.92%58.48%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 23.47%4.26faire Quote
EV -1.42%
Vorteil -0.338%
Kelly -0.444%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.78%23.51%23.52%24.74%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.503.883.904.2028.57%25.78%25.64%23.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Nieciecza (Heim): 19.51%; Legia Warszawa (Auswärts): 57.02%; Unentschieden: 23.47%. Für Nieciecza (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.12. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.20 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.46%.

Wettanbieterquoten (46 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
FanDuel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV +1.46%E +0.282%K +0.349%G +0.005%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -9.34%E -5.88%K -15.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 15:28
Pinnacle🎯5.19I 19.27%NM 18.48%EV +1.27%E +0.245%K +0.303%G +0.004%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.43%EV -4.78%E -2.86%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.10%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 15:29
LowVig.ag🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -0.487%E -0.095%K -0.119%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 15:29
BetOnline.ag🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -0.487%E -0.095%K -0.119%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 15:29
Coolbet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV -2.44%E -0.488%K -0.609%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.04%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -1.42%E -0.338%K -0.444%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 15:29
DraftKings🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -2.44%E -0.488%K -0.609%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 15:28
SportsBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -2.44%E -0.488%K -0.609%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -10.48%E -6.68%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 15:29
Bovada🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 18.60%EV -3.41%E -0.690%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.20%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 15:21
BetUS🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -4.39%E -0.896%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.77%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 15:29
Unibet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.34%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -5.35%E -3.22%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 15:29
Unibet (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.34%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -5.35%E -3.22%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 15:29
Marathon Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.32%EV -6.34%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.90%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 15:28
Tipico (DE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -6.34%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -8.77%E -5.48%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 15:29
888sport🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -6.34%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.20%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -13.16%E -3.56%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 15:29
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -7.32%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 15:29
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.32%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -7.63%E -4.71%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 15:29
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -7.32%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -8.20%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 15:29
Paddy Power🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -7.32%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -10.48%E -6.68%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 15:29
Unibet (NL)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -8.29%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -4.21%E -2.51%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 15:30
BetRivers🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.29%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -6.49%E -3.96%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 15:26
Casumo🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.29%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -6.49%E -3.96%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 15:29
Grosvenor🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.29%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -6.49%E -3.96%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 15:29
TABtouch🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.65%EV -8.29%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.67%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 15:29
1xBet🎯4.67I 21.41%NM 20.34%EV -8.88%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.55%EV -2.50%E -1.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.11%EV -7.52%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:29
NordicBet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.02%EV -9.27%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.42%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 15:29
Betsson🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.02%EV -9.27%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.42%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 15:29
BetMGM🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 15:29
betfred_uk🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -7.63%E -4.71%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 15:29
Codere (IT)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 15:29
Bet Victor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.20%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-10 15:28
LiveScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -8.20%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -9.64%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 15:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -8.20%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -9.64%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 15:29
Virgin Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -8.77%E -5.48%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-10 15:30
Betr (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -8.77%E -5.48%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-10 15:29
Sky Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -10.48%E -6.68%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.98%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-10 15:30
Winamax (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -12.19%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -8.77%E -5.48%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-10 15:29
Bet Right🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -12.19%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.42%EV -9.91%E -6.27%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -11.98%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-10 15:29
LeoVegas🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -12.19%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.73%EV -11.05%E -7.09%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -11.98%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-10 15:29
Betclic (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -12.19%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.40%EV -12.19%E -7.92%K -22.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.96%EV -9.64%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-10 15:24
PMU (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -12.19%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.55%EV -11.05%E -7.09%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.84%EV -13.16%E -3.56%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-10 15:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -12.19%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -12.76%E -8.34%K -24.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -17.85%E -5.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-10 15:29
PlayUp🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -14.15%E -3.21%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -14.33%E -3.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -15.51%E -3.58%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.77%E -5.48%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 15:30
Coral🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -15.51%E -3.58%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.77%E -5.48%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 15:29
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -15.51%E -3.58%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.14%EV -10.48%E -6.68%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -11.98%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-10 15:30
Winamax (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.46%EV -16.10%E -3.74%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.39%EV -11.05%E -7.09%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.15%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-10 15:29
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38%1.9%2026-05-10 15:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38%1.9%2026-05-10 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38%1.9%2026-05-10 15:29
Matchbook5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38%1.9%2026-05-10 15:29
Smarkets5.40I 18.52%NM 18.12%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%2.2%2026-05-10 15:29