Szkoła Kursów

Nieciecza v Legia Warszawa

Początek: 2026-05-10 15:32 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Nieciecza 0–1 Legia Warszawa

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

46 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Nieciecza (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 19.51%5.12kurs godziwy
EV +1.46%
Przewaga +0.282%
Kelly +0.349%
Wzrost +0.005%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.20

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
17.95%19.44%19.55%20.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.304.704.695.2023.26%21.30%21.34%19.23%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Legia Warszawa (Goście)

Prognoza 57.02%1.75kurs godziwy
EV -2.50%
Przewaga -1.46%
Kelly -3.52%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.71

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
54.73%57.05%56.94%58.71%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.531.621.621.7165.36%61.89%61.92%58.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 23.47%4.26kurs godziwy
EV -1.42%
Przewaga -0.338%
Kelly -0.444%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.20

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.78%23.51%23.52%24.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.503.883.904.2028.57%25.78%25.64%23.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (46 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
FanDuel5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV +1.46%E +0.282%K +0.349%G +0.005%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -9.34%E -5.88%K -15.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 15:28
Pinnacle5.19I 19.27%NM 18.48%EV +1.27%E +0.245%K +0.303%G +0.004%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.43%EV -4.78%E -2.86%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.10%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 15:29
LowVig.ag5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -0.487%E -0.095%K -0.119%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 15:29
BetOnline.ag5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -0.487%E -0.095%K -0.119%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 15:29
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV -2.44%E -0.488%K -0.609%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.04%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -1.42%E -0.338%K -0.444%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 15:29
DraftKings5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -2.44%E -0.488%K -0.609%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 15:28
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -2.44%E -0.488%K -0.609%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -10.48%E -6.68%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 15:29
Bovada4.95I 20.20%NM 18.60%EV -3.41%E -0.690%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.20%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 15:21
BetUS4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -4.39%E -0.896%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.77%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 15:29
Unibet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.34%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -5.35%E -3.22%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 15:29
Unibet (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.34%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -5.35%E -3.22%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 15:29
Marathon Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.32%EV -6.34%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.90%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 15:28
Tipico (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -6.34%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -8.77%E -5.48%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 15:29
888sport4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -6.34%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.20%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -13.16%E -3.56%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 15:29
Unibet (UK)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -7.32%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 15:29
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.32%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -7.63%E -4.71%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 15:29
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -7.32%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -8.20%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 15:29
Paddy Power4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -7.32%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -10.48%E -6.68%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 15:29
Unibet (NL)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -8.29%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -4.21%E -2.51%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 15:30
BetRivers4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.29%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -6.49%E -3.96%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 15:26
Casumo4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.29%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -6.49%E -3.96%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 15:29
Grosvenor4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.29%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -6.49%E -3.96%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 15:29
TABtouch4.70I 21.28%NM 19.65%EV -8.29%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.67%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 15:29
1xBet4.67I 21.41%NM 20.34%EV -8.88%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.55%EV -2.50%E -1.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.11%EV -7.52%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:29
NordicBet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.02%EV -9.27%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.42%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 15:29
Betsson4.65I 21.51%NM 20.02%EV -9.27%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.42%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 15:29
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 15:29
betfred_uk4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -7.63%E -4.71%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 15:29
Codere (IT)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 15:29
Bet Victor4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.20%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-10 15:28
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -8.20%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -9.64%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 15:29
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -8.20%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -9.64%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 15:29
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -8.77%E -5.48%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-10 15:30
Betr (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -8.77%E -5.48%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-10 15:29
Sky Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -10.24%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -10.48%E -6.68%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.98%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-10 15:30
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -12.19%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -8.77%E -5.48%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-10 15:29
Bet Right4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -12.19%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.42%EV -9.91%E -6.27%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -11.98%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-10 15:29
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -12.19%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.73%EV -11.05%E -7.09%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -11.98%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-10 15:29
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -12.19%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.40%EV -12.19%E -7.92%K -22.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.96%EV -9.64%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-10 15:24
PMU (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -12.19%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.55%EV -11.05%E -7.09%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.84%EV -13.16%E -3.56%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-10 15:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -12.19%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -12.76%E -8.34%K -24.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -17.85%E -5.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-10 15:29
PlayUp4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -14.15%E -3.21%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -14.33%E -3.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -15.51%E -3.58%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.77%E -5.48%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 15:30
Coral4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -15.51%E -3.58%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.77%E -5.48%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 15:29
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -15.51%E -3.58%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.14%EV -10.48%E -6.68%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -11.98%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-10 15:30
Winamax (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.46%EV -16.10%E -3.74%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.39%EV -11.05%E -7.09%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.15%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-10 15:29
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38%1.9%2026-05-10 15:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38%1.9%2026-05-10 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38%1.9%2026-05-10 15:29
Matchbook5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38%1.9%2026-05-10 15:29
Smarkets5.40I 18.52%NM 18.12%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%2.2%2026-05-10 15:29