StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Nieciecza v Lechia Gdańsk

Matchstart: 2026-05-23 15:32 UTC

Slutresultat: Nieciecza 3–2 Lechia Gdańsk

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

50 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Nieciecza (Hemma)

Prognos 25.02%4.00rättvist odds
EV -1.16%
Fördel -0.295%
Kelly -0.394%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.95

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.67%25.09%24.93%26.66%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.693.703.9530.30%27.10%27.03%25.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Lechia Gdańsk (Borta)

Prognos 53.25%1.88rättvist odds
EV -4.15%
Fördel -2.31%
Kelly -5.19%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
48.82%53.25%53.18%54.28%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.621.721.731.8061.73%58.01%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 21.73%4.60rättvist odds
EV +0.825%
Fördel +0.178%
Kelly +0.227%
Tillväxt +0.002%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.64

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.42%21.66%21.88%25.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.304.184.204.6430.30%23.94%23.81%21.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Nieciecza (Hemma): 25.02%; Lechia Gdańsk (Borta): 53.25%; Oavgjort: 21.73%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.60. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.64, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.825%.

Spelbolagsodds (50 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.92%E -2.15%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.83%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.42%EV +0.825%E +0.178%K +0.227%G +0.002%5.5%2026-05-23 15:29
DraftKings🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.24%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -2.22%E -0.493%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 15:30
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -8.94%E -5.23%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.22%E -0.493%K -0.633%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 15:29
Marathon Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -8.94%E -5.23%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -3.30%E -0.742%K -0.958%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 15:29
Bovada🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.17%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.66%EV -3.30%E -0.742%K -0.958%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 15:28
LowVig.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -4.68%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -4.39%E -0.998%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 15:30
BetOnline.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -4.68%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -4.39%E -0.998%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 15:30
BetUS🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -4.68%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -4.39%E -0.998%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 15:29
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -4.39%E -0.998%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 15:30
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -5.91%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 15:30
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -5.91%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 15:29
Coolbet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.67%E -0.952%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 15:29
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -2.41%E -0.619%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -7.65%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 15:30
1xBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -7.65%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 15:29
Unibet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -1.16%E -0.295%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 15:29
Unibet (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -1.16%E -0.295%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 15:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -1.16%E -0.295%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 15:29
ATG (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -1.16%E -0.295%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 15:30
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -2.41%E -0.619%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.75%EV -7.35%E -4.22%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 15:29
Grosvenor🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.41%E -0.619%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 15:30
BetRivers🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.41%E -0.619%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 15:25
Casumo🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.41%E -0.619%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 15:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.41%E -0.619%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 15:29
betPARX🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.41%E -0.619%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 15:29
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 15:29
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 15:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 15:29
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 15:29
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 15:29
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -17.43%E -5.28%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.29%EV -13.74%E -8.48%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-23 15:29
NordicBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.17%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.13%EV -9.82%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 15:29
Betsson🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.17%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.13%EV -9.82%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 15:30
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 15:30
TABtouch🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -3.67%E -0.952%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.73%EV -8.94%E -5.23%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 15:29
Codere (IT)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 15:29
Bet Victor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%EV -9.48%E -5.57%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 15:28
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.00%EV -10.54%E -6.28%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 15:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.00%EV -10.54%E -6.28%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 15:30
PlayUp🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -9.48%E -5.57%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 15:29
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.17%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 15:29
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.42%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-23 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -11.07%E -6.63%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-23 15:29
LeoVegas🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -6.17%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.98%EV -12.14%E -7.36%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-23 15:29
Betclic (FR)🎯3.63I 27.55%NM 24.35%EV -9.17%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.56%EV -12.14%E -7.36%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.09%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-23 15:28
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -14.93%E -4.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.95%EV -9.48%E -5.57%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-23 15:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.38%EV -13.67%E -3.96%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.74%EV -11.61%E -6.99%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.89%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-23 15:29
PMU (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 53.96%EV -13.20%E -8.10%K -20.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%EV -14.17%E -3.59%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-23 15:30
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.48%E -5.57%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.48%E -5.57%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 25.59%EV -17.43%E -5.28%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 48.82%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.59%EV -28.29%E -8.57%K -12.30%G +0.000%18.4%2026-05-23 15:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.82%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.32%0.4%2026-05-23 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.82%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.32%0.4%2026-05-23 15:30
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.59%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.9%2026-05-23 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.41%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59%1.2%2026-05-23 15:30
Smarkets3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.76%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.82%2.2%2026-05-23 15:30
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.25%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.32%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.43%2.8%2026-05-23 15:30