L’École des cotesNieciecza v Lechia Gdańsk
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Nieciecza (Local)
Prévision 25.02%4.00cote équitable
EV -1.16%
Avantage -0.295%
Kelly -0.394%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.67%25.09%24.93%26.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.693.703.9530.30%27.10%27.03%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Lechia Gdańsk (Visiteur)
Prévision 53.25%1.88cote équitable
EV -4.15%
Avantage -2.31%
Kelly -5.19%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.82%53.25%53.18%54.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.721.731.8061.73%58.01%57.80%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 21.73%4.60cote équitable
EV +0.825%
Avantage +0.178%
Kelly +0.227%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 4.64
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.42%21.66%21.88%25.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.304.184.204.6430.30%23.94%23.81%21.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.92%E -2.15%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.83%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.42%EV +0.825%E +0.178%K +0.227%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| DraftKings | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.24%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -2.22%E -0.493%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| FanDuel | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -8.94%E -5.23%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.22%E -0.493%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -8.94%E -5.23%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -3.30%E -0.742%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Bovada | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.17%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.66%EV -3.30%E -0.742%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-23 15:28 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -4.68%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -4.39%E -0.998%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -4.68%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -4.39%E -0.998%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| BetUS | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -4.68%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -4.39%E -0.998%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -4.39%E -0.998%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -5.91%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| SportsBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -5.91%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Coolbet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.67%E -0.952%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -2.41%E -0.619%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -7.65%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| 1xBet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -7.65%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Unibet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -1.16%E -0.295%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -1.16%E -0.295%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -1.16%E -0.295%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -1.16%E -0.295%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| BetMGM | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -2.41%E -0.619%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.75%EV -7.35%E -4.22%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Grosvenor | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.41%E -0.619%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| BetRivers | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.41%E -0.619%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 15:25 |
| Casumo | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.41%E -0.619%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.41%E -0.619%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| betPARX | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.41%E -0.619%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| 888sport | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| BoyleSports | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -17.43%E -5.28%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.29%EV -13.74%E -8.48%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| NordicBet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.17%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.13%EV -9.82%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Betsson | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.17%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.13%EV -9.82%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Fanatics | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| TABtouch | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -3.67%E -0.952%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.73%EV -8.94%E -5.23%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Bet Victor | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%EV -9.48%E -5.57%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-23 15:28 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.00%EV -10.54%E -6.28%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.00%EV -10.54%E -6.28%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| PlayUp | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -9.48%E -5.57%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| betfred_uk | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.17%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.42%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -11.07%E -6.63%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| LeoVegas | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -6.17%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.98%EV -12.14%E -7.36%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.63I 27.55%NM 24.35%EV -9.17%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.56%EV -12.14%E -7.36%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.09%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-23 15:28 |
| Sky Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -14.93%E -4.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.95%EV -9.48%E -5.57%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.38%EV -13.67%E -3.96%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.74%EV -11.61%E -6.99%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.89%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.96%EV -13.20%E -8.10%K -20.96%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%EV -14.17%E -3.59%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Coral | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.48%E -5.57%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.48%E -5.57%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.59%EV -17.43%E -5.28%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.82%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.59%EV -28.29%E -8.57%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 18.4% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.82% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.32% | 0.4% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.82% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.32% | 0.4% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Matchbook | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.59% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.9% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.41% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59% | 1.2% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Smarkets | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.76% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.82% | 2.2% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Kalshi | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.25% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.32% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.43% | 2.8% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |