Szkoła Kursów

Nieciecza v Lechia Gdańsk

Początek: 2026-05-23 15:32 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Nieciecza 3–2 Lechia Gdańsk

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

50 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Nieciecza (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 25.02%4.00kurs godziwy
EV -1.16%
Przewaga -0.295%
Kelly -0.394%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.95

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.67%25.09%24.93%26.66%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.303.693.703.9530.30%27.10%27.03%25.32%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Lechia Gdańsk (Goście)

Prognoza 53.25%1.88kurs godziwy
EV -4.15%
Przewaga -2.31%
Kelly -5.19%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.80

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
48.82%53.25%53.18%54.28%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.621.721.731.8061.73%58.01%57.80%55.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 21.73%4.60kurs godziwy
EV +0.825%
Przewaga +0.178%
Kelly +0.227%
Wzrost +0.002%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.64

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
20.42%21.66%21.88%25.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.304.184.204.6430.30%23.94%23.81%21.55%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (50 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemis ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle3.68I 27.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.92%E -2.15%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.83%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.42%EV +0.825%E +0.178%K +0.227%G +0.002%5.5%2026-05-23 15:29
DraftKings3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.24%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -2.22%E -0.493%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 15:30
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -8.94%E -5.23%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.22%E -0.493%K -0.633%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 15:29
Marathon Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -8.94%E -5.23%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -3.30%E -0.742%K -0.958%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 15:29
Bovada3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.17%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.66%EV -3.30%E -0.742%K -0.958%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 15:28
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -4.68%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -4.39%E -0.998%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 15:30
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -4.68%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -4.39%E -0.998%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 15:30
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -4.68%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -4.39%E -0.998%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 15:29
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -4.39%E -0.998%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 15:30
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -5.91%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 15:30
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -5.91%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 15:29
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.67%E -0.952%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 15:29
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -2.41%E -0.619%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -7.65%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 15:30
1xBet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -7.65%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 15:29
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -1.16%E -0.295%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 15:29
Unibet (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -1.16%E -0.295%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 15:30
Unibet (NL)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -1.16%E -0.295%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 15:29
ATG (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -1.16%E -0.295%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 15:30
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -2.41%E -0.619%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.75%EV -7.35%E -4.22%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 15:29
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.41%E -0.619%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 15:30
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.41%E -0.619%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 15:25
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.41%E -0.619%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 15:30
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.41%E -0.619%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 15:29
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.41%E -0.619%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 15:29
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 15:29
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 15:29
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 15:29
Winamax (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 15:29
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 15:29
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -17.43%E -5.28%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.29%EV -13.74%E -8.48%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-23 15:29
NordicBet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.17%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.13%EV -9.82%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 15:29
Betsson3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.17%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.13%EV -9.82%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 15:30
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 15:30
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -3.67%E -0.952%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.73%EV -8.94%E -5.23%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 15:29
Codere (IT)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 15:29
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%EV -9.48%E -5.57%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 15:28
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.00%EV -10.54%E -6.28%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 15:30
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.00%EV -10.54%E -6.28%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 15:30
PlayUp3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -9.48%E -5.57%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 15:29
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.17%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 15:29
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.42%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-23 15:30
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -11.07%E -6.63%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-23 15:29
LeoVegas3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -6.17%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.98%EV -12.14%E -7.36%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-23 15:29
Betclic (FR)3.63I 27.55%NM 24.35%EV -9.17%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.56%EV -12.14%E -7.36%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.09%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-23 15:28
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -14.93%E -4.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.95%EV -9.48%E -5.57%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-23 15:30
Winamax (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.38%EV -13.67%E -3.96%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.74%EV -11.61%E -6.99%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.89%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-23 15:29
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 53.96%EV -13.20%E -8.10%K -20.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%EV -14.17%E -3.59%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-23 15:30
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.48%E -5.57%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.48%E -5.57%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 25.59%EV -17.43%E -5.28%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 48.82%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.59%EV -28.29%E -8.57%K -12.30%G +0.000%18.4%2026-05-23 15:30
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.82%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.32%0.4%2026-05-23 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.82%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.32%0.4%2026-05-23 15:30
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.59%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.9%2026-05-23 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.41%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59%1.2%2026-05-23 15:30
Smarkets3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.76%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.82%2.2%2026-05-23 15:30
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.25%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.32%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.43%2.8%2026-05-23 15:30