La scuola delle quote

Nieciecza v Lechia Gdańsk

Inizio: 2026-05-23 15:32 UTC

Finale: Nieciecza 3–2 Lechia Gdańsk

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

50 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Nieciecza (Casa)

Previsione 25.02%4.00quota equa
EV -1.16%
Vantaggio -0.295%
Kelly -0.394%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.67%25.09%24.93%26.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.693.703.9530.30%27.10%27.03%25.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Lechia Gdańsk (Trasferta)

Previsione 53.25%1.88quota equa
EV -4.15%
Vantaggio -2.31%
Kelly -5.19%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.82%53.25%53.18%54.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.721.731.8061.73%58.01%57.80%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 21.73%4.60quota equa
EV +0.825%
Vantaggio +0.178%
Kelly +0.227%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.64

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.42%21.66%21.88%25.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.304.184.204.6430.30%23.94%23.81%21.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle3.68I 27.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.92%E -2.15%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.83%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.42%EV +0.825%E +0.178%K +0.227%G +0.002%5.5%2026-05-23 15:29
DraftKings3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.24%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -2.22%E -0.493%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 15:30
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -8.94%E -5.23%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.22%E -0.493%K -0.633%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 15:29
Marathon Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -8.94%E -5.23%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -3.30%E -0.742%K -0.958%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 15:29
Bovada3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.17%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.66%EV -3.30%E -0.742%K -0.958%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 15:28
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -4.68%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -4.39%E -0.998%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 15:30
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -4.68%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -4.39%E -0.998%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 15:30
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -4.68%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -4.39%E -0.998%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 15:29
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -4.39%E -0.998%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 15:30
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -5.91%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 15:30
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -5.91%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 15:29
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.67%E -0.952%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 15:29
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -2.41%E -0.619%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -7.65%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 15:30
1xBet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -7.65%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 15:29
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -1.16%E -0.295%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 15:29
Unibet (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -1.16%E -0.295%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 15:30
Unibet (NL)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -1.16%E -0.295%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 15:29
ATG (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -1.16%E -0.295%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 15:30
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -2.41%E -0.619%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.75%EV -7.35%E -4.22%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 15:29
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.41%E -0.619%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 15:30
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.41%E -0.619%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 15:25
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.41%E -0.619%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 15:30
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.41%E -0.619%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 15:29
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.41%E -0.619%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 15:29
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 15:29
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 15:29
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 15:29
Winamax (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 15:29
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 15:29
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -17.43%E -5.28%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.29%EV -13.74%E -8.48%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-23 15:29
NordicBet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.17%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.13%EV -9.82%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 15:29
Betsson3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.17%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.13%EV -9.82%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 15:30
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 15:30
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -3.67%E -0.952%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.73%EV -8.94%E -5.23%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 15:29
Codere (IT)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 15:29
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%EV -9.48%E -5.57%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 15:28
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.00%EV -10.54%E -6.28%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 15:30
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.00%EV -10.54%E -6.28%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 15:30
PlayUp3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -9.48%E -5.57%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 15:29
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.17%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 15:29
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.42%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-23 15:30
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -11.07%E -6.63%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-23 15:29
LeoVegas3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -6.17%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.98%EV -12.14%E -7.36%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-23 15:29
Betclic (FR)3.63I 27.55%NM 24.35%EV -9.17%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.56%EV -12.14%E -7.36%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.09%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-23 15:28
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -14.93%E -4.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.95%EV -9.48%E -5.57%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-23 15:30
Winamax (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.38%EV -13.67%E -3.96%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.74%EV -11.61%E -6.99%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.89%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-23 15:29
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 53.96%EV -13.20%E -8.10%K -20.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%EV -14.17%E -3.59%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-23 15:30
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.48%E -5.57%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.48%E -5.57%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 25.59%EV -17.43%E -5.28%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 48.82%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.59%EV -28.29%E -8.57%K -12.30%G +0.000%18.4%2026-05-23 15:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.82%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.32%0.4%2026-05-23 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.82%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.32%0.4%2026-05-23 15:30
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.59%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.9%2026-05-23 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.41%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59%1.2%2026-05-23 15:30
Smarkets3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.76%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.82%2.2%2026-05-23 15:30
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.25%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.32%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.43%2.8%2026-05-23 15:30