Language:English
Motor Lublin v Raków Częstochowa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Motor Lublin (Local)
Prediction 33.55%2.98fair odd
EV +0.637%
Edge +0.212%
Kelly +0.319%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.93%33.45%33.53%34.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.792.763.0038.46%35.90%36.23%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Raków Częstochowa (Visit)
Prediction 39.77%2.51fair odd
EV -4.15%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -2.94%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.74%39.84%39.76%41.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.292.302.4147.17%43.63%43.48%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.68%3.75fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.418%
Kelly -0.574%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.80%26.71%26.71%28.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.373.403.6933.33%29.68%29.41%27.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Motor Lublin (Local): 33.55%; Raków Częstochowa (Visit): 39.77%; Draw: 26.68%. For Motor Lublin (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.637%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -7.73%E -3.33%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -7.73%E -3.33%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -7.73%E -3.33%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -7.73%E -3.33%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 12:33 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -1.04%E -0.353%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -9.32%E -4.09%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -13.28%E -4.09%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -2.72%E -0.937%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -14.62%E -4.57%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -2.72%E -0.937%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -14.62%E -4.57%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.33%EV -3.39%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.47%EV -11.31%E -5.07%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -14.62%E -4.57%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -3.94%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.48%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -15.95%E -5.06%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.93%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.63%EV -13.69%E -6.31%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -17.29%E -5.58%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.00%EV -5.07%E -1.79%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.92%EV -4.15%E -1.72%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.08%EV -1.54%E -0.418%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.55%E -1.89%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.94%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.94%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -6.74%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.35%EV -5.74%E -2.42%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -8.21%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -6.74%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.58%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -7.95%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -6.74%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.58%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -7.95%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.59%EV -7.41%E -2.69%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.45%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -8.21%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -7.73%E -3.33%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -14.49%E -6.74%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -14.49%E -6.74%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.88%EV -8.42%E -3.08%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.70%EV -7.33%E -3.15%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.09%EV -10.10%E -3.77%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.04%EV -6.93%E -2.96%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.09%EV -10.10%E -3.77%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.04%EV -6.93%E -2.96%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.26%EV -10.43%E -3.91%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.00%EV -11.71%E -5.27%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.75%EV -11.42%E -3.44%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -11.10%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -11.10%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -11.10%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.25%EV -11.10%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.05%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -11.77%E -4.48%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -12.11%E -4.62%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -10.61%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.91%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 40.36%EV -15.68%E -7.40%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.74%EV -14.62%E -4.57%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.80%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.77%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -19.95%E -6.65%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.59% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.50% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69% | 1.3% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.50% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69% | 1.3% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.97% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.18% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46% | 2.0% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.66% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.93% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |