Szkoła Kursów

Motor Lublin v Raków Częstochowa

Początek: 2026-04-12 12:45 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Motor Lublin 1–1 Raków Częstochowa

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

51 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Motor Lublin (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 33.55%2.98kurs godziwy
EV +0.637%
Przewaga +0.212%
Kelly +0.319%
Wzrost +0.002%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.93%33.45%33.53%34.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.602.792.763.0038.46%35.90%36.23%33.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Raków Częstochowa (Goście)

Prognoza 39.77%2.51kurs godziwy
EV -4.15%
Przewaga -1.72%
Kelly -2.94%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.41

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
38.74%39.84%39.76%41.42%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.122.292.302.4147.17%43.63%43.48%41.49%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 26.68%3.75kurs godziwy
EV -1.54%
Przewaga -0.418%
Kelly -0.574%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.69

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.80%26.71%26.71%28.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.373.403.6933.33%29.68%29.41%27.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (51 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -7.73%E -3.33%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 12:35
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -7.73%E -3.33%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 12:35
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -7.73%E -3.33%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 12:35
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -7.73%E -3.33%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 12:35
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 12:33
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 12:35
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 12:35
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 12:35
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 12:35
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -1.04%E -0.353%K -0.533%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -9.32%E -4.09%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -13.28%E -4.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 12:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -2.72%E -0.937%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -14.62%E -4.57%K -6.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 12:35
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -2.72%E -0.937%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -14.62%E -4.57%K -6.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 12:35
Virgin Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.33%EV -3.39%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.47%EV -11.31%E -5.07%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -14.62%E -4.57%K -6.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 12:34
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -3.94%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 12:34
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.48%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -15.95%E -5.06%K -7.42%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 12:34
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.93%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.63%EV -13.69%E -6.31%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -17.29%E -5.58%K -8.23%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-12 12:34
Pinnacle2.83I 35.34%NM 34.00%EV -5.07%E -1.79%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.92%EV -4.15%E -1.72%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.08%EV -1.54%E -0.418%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 12:35
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.55%E -1.89%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.94%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 12:35
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.94%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 12:34
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 12:34
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 12:34
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 12:35
1xBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -6.74%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.35%EV -5.74%E -2.42%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -8.21%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 12:35
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -6.74%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.58%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -7.95%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 12:35
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -6.74%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.58%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -7.95%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 12:35
Marathon Bet2.76I 36.23%NM 33.59%EV -7.41%E -2.69%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.45%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -8.21%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 12:35
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 12:35
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -7.73%E -3.33%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 12:35
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 12:35
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -14.49%E -6.74%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 12:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -14.49%E -6.74%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 12:34
BetUS2.73I 36.63%NM 33.88%EV -8.42%E -3.08%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.70%EV -7.33%E -3.15%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 12:35
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 12:35
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 12:35
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 12:34
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 12:34
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 12:35
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 12:35
LowVig.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 34.09%EV -10.10%E -3.77%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.04%EV -6.93%E -2.96%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 12:34
BetOnline.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 34.09%EV -10.10%E -3.77%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.04%EV -6.93%E -2.96%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 12:35
Betclic (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 33.26%EV -10.43%E -3.91%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.00%EV -11.71%E -5.27%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.75%EV -11.42%E -3.44%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-12 12:34
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -11.10%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 12:35
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -11.10%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 12:35
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -11.10%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 12:34
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.25%EV -11.10%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.05%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-12 12:34
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -11.77%E -4.48%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 12:34
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -12.11%E -4.62%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 12:35
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-12 12:35
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -10.61%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-12 12:34
NetBet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.91%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 40.36%EV -15.68%E -7.40%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.74%EV -14.62%E -4.57%K -6.64%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-12 12:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.80%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.77%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -19.95%E -6.65%K -9.98%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-12 12:35
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.59%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-04-12 12:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%1.3%2026-04-12 12:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%1.3%2026-04-12 12:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.97%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-04-12 12:35
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.18%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-04-12 12:35
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 33.66%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.93%3.2%2026-04-12 12:35