A Escola das Odds

Motor Lublin v Raków Częstochowa

Início: 2026-04-12 12:45 UTC

Final: Motor Lublin 1–1 Raków Częstochowa

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Motor Lublin (Local)

Previsão 33.55%2.98odd justa
EV +0.637%
Vantagem +0.212%
Kelly +0.319%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.93%33.45%33.53%34.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.792.763.0038.46%35.90%36.23%33.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Raków Częstochowa (Visitante)

Previsão 39.77%2.51odd justa
EV -4.15%
Vantagem -1.72%
Kelly -2.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.41

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.74%39.84%39.76%41.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.122.292.302.4147.17%43.63%43.48%41.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.68%3.75odd justa
EV -1.54%
Vantagem -0.418%
Kelly -0.574%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.80%26.71%26.71%28.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.373.403.6933.33%29.68%29.41%27.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -7.73%E -3.33%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 12:35
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -7.73%E -3.33%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 12:35
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -7.73%E -3.33%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 12:35
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -7.73%E -3.33%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 12:35
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 12:33
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 12:35
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 12:35
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 12:35
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 12:35
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -1.04%E -0.353%K -0.533%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -9.32%E -4.09%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -13.28%E -4.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 12:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -2.72%E -0.937%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -14.62%E -4.57%K -6.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 12:35
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -2.72%E -0.937%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -14.62%E -4.57%K -6.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 12:35
Virgin Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.33%EV -3.39%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.47%EV -11.31%E -5.07%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -14.62%E -4.57%K -6.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 12:34
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -3.94%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 12:34
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.48%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -15.95%E -5.06%K -7.42%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 12:34
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.93%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.63%EV -13.69%E -6.31%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -17.29%E -5.58%K -8.23%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-12 12:34
Pinnacle2.83I 35.34%NM 34.00%EV -5.07%E -1.79%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.92%EV -4.15%E -1.72%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.08%EV -1.54%E -0.418%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 12:35
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.55%E -1.89%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.94%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 12:35
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.94%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 12:34
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 12:34
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 12:34
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 12:35
1xBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -6.74%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.35%EV -5.74%E -2.42%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -8.21%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 12:35
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -6.74%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.58%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -7.95%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 12:35
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -6.74%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.58%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -7.95%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 12:35
Marathon Bet2.76I 36.23%NM 33.59%EV -7.41%E -2.69%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.45%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -8.21%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 12:35
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 12:35
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -7.73%E -3.33%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 12:35
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 12:35
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -14.49%E -6.74%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 12:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -14.49%E -6.74%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 12:34
BetUS2.73I 36.63%NM 33.88%EV -8.42%E -3.08%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.70%EV -7.33%E -3.15%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 12:35
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 12:35
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 12:35
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 12:34
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 12:34
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 12:35
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 12:35
LowVig.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 34.09%EV -10.10%E -3.77%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.04%EV -6.93%E -2.96%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 12:34
BetOnline.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 34.09%EV -10.10%E -3.77%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.04%EV -6.93%E -2.96%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 12:35
Betclic (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 33.26%EV -10.43%E -3.91%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.00%EV -11.71%E -5.27%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.75%EV -11.42%E -3.44%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-12 12:34
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -11.10%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 12:35
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -11.10%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 12:35
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -11.10%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 12:34
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.25%EV -11.10%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.05%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-12 12:34
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -11.77%E -4.48%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 12:34
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -12.11%E -4.62%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 12:35
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-12 12:35
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -10.61%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-12 12:34
NetBet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.91%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 40.36%EV -15.68%E -7.40%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.74%EV -14.62%E -4.57%K -6.64%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-12 12:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.80%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.77%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -19.95%E -6.65%K -9.98%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-12 12:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.59%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-04-12 12:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%1.3%2026-04-12 12:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%1.3%2026-04-12 12:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.97%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-04-12 12:35
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.18%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-04-12 12:35
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 33.66%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.93%3.2%2026-04-12 12:35