L’École des cotesFrançais
Motor Lublin v Raków Częstochowa
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Motor Lublin (Local)
Prévision 33.55%2.98cote équitable
EV +0.637%
Avantage +0.212%
Kelly +0.319%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 3.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.93%33.45%33.53%34.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.792.763.0038.46%35.90%36.23%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Raków Częstochowa (Visiteur)
Prévision 39.77%2.51cote équitable
EV -4.15%
Avantage -1.72%
Kelly -2.94%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.41
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.74%39.84%39.76%41.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.122.292.302.4147.17%43.63%43.48%41.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.68%3.75cote équitable
EV -1.54%
Avantage -0.418%
Kelly -0.574%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.69
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.80%26.71%26.71%28.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.373.403.6933.33%29.68%29.41%27.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -7.73%E -3.33%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Unibet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -7.73%E -3.33%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -7.73%E -3.33%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -7.73%E -3.33%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| BetRivers | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 12:33 |
| Casumo | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Grosvenor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| betPARX | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -1.04%E -0.353%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -9.32%E -4.09%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -13.28%E -4.09%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -2.72%E -0.937%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -14.62%E -4.57%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -2.72%E -0.937%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -14.62%E -4.57%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.33%EV -3.39%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.47%EV -11.31%E -5.07%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -14.62%E -4.57%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| BetMGM | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -3.94%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| LeoVegas | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.48%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -15.95%E -5.06%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.93%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.63%EV -13.69%E -6.31%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -17.29%E -5.58%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| Pinnacle | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.00%EV -5.07%E -1.79%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.92%EV -4.15%E -1.72%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.08%EV -1.54%E -0.418%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Coolbet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.55%E -1.89%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.94%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.94%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| FanDuel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -6.74%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.35%EV -5.74%E -2.42%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -8.21%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Betsson | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -6.74%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.58%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -7.95%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| NordicBet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -6.74%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.58%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -7.95%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.59%EV -7.41%E -2.69%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.45%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -8.21%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -7.73%E -3.33%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Fanatics | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -14.49%E -6.74%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -14.49%E -6.74%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| BetUS | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.88%EV -8.42%E -3.08%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.70%EV -7.33%E -3.15%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| 888sport | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| Bet Right | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| SportsBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Bet Victor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.09%EV -10.10%E -3.77%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.04%EV -6.93%E -2.96%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.09%EV -10.10%E -3.77%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.04%EV -6.93%E -2.96%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.26%EV -10.43%E -3.91%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.00%EV -11.71%E -5.27%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.75%EV -11.42%E -3.44%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| PlayUp | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -11.10%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -11.10%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -11.10%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.25%EV -11.10%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.05%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| Sky Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -11.77%E -4.48%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -12.11%E -4.62%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -10.61%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.91%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 40.36%EV -15.68%E -7.40%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.74%EV -14.62%E -4.57%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-12 12:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.80%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.77%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -19.95%E -6.65%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.59% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.50% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69% | 1.3% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.50% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69% | 1.3% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.97% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Kalshi | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.18% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46% | 2.0% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Smarkets | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.66% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.93% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |