Школа коэффициентов

Motor Lublin v Raków Częstochowa

Начало: 2026-04-12 12:45 UTC

Итог: Motor Lublin 1–1 Raków Częstochowa

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

51 букмекерская контора (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Motor Lublin (Хозяева)

Прогноз 33.55%2.98справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.637%
Преимущество +0.212%
Kelly +0.319%
Рост +0.002%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.93%33.45%33.53%34.37%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.602.792.763.0038.46%35.90%36.23%33.33%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Raków Częstochowa (Гости)

Прогноз 39.77%2.51справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.15%
Преимущество -1.72%
Kelly -2.94%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.41

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
38.74%39.84%39.76%41.42%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.122.292.302.4147.17%43.63%43.48%41.49%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 26.68%3.75справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.54%
Преимущество -0.418%
Kelly -0.574%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.69

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.80%26.71%26.71%28.44%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.373.403.6933.33%29.68%29.41%27.10%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (51 букмекерская контора)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -7.73%E -3.33%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 12:35
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -7.73%E -3.33%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 12:35
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -7.73%E -3.33%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 12:35
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -7.73%E -3.33%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 12:35
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 12:33
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 12:35
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 12:35
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 12:35
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV +0.637%E +0.212%K +0.319%G +0.002%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 12:35
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -1.04%E -0.353%K -0.533%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -9.32%E -4.09%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -13.28%E -4.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 12:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -2.72%E -0.937%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -14.62%E -4.57%K -6.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 12:35
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -2.72%E -0.937%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -14.62%E -4.57%K -6.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 12:35
Virgin Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.33%EV -3.39%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.47%EV -11.31%E -5.07%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -14.62%E -4.57%K -6.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 12:34
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -3.94%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 12:34
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.48%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -15.95%E -5.06%K -7.42%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 12:34
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.93%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.63%EV -13.69%E -6.31%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -17.29%E -5.58%K -8.23%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-12 12:34
Pinnacle2.83I 35.34%NM 34.00%EV -5.07%E -1.79%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.92%EV -4.15%E -1.72%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.08%EV -1.54%E -0.418%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 12:35
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.55%E -1.89%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.94%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 12:35
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.94%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 12:34
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 12:34
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 12:34
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 12:35
1xBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -6.74%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.35%EV -5.74%E -2.42%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -8.21%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 12:35
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -6.74%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.58%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -7.95%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 12:35
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -6.74%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.58%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -7.95%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 12:35
Marathon Bet2.76I 36.23%NM 33.59%EV -7.41%E -2.69%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.45%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -8.21%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 12:35
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 12:35
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -7.73%E -3.33%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 12:35
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 12:35
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -14.49%E -6.74%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 12:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -14.49%E -6.74%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 12:34
BetUS2.73I 36.63%NM 33.88%EV -8.42%E -3.08%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.70%EV -7.33%E -3.15%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 12:35
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 12:35
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 12:35
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 12:34
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 12:34
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 12:35
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 12:35
LowVig.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 34.09%EV -10.10%E -3.77%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.04%EV -6.93%E -2.96%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 12:34
BetOnline.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 34.09%EV -10.10%E -3.77%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.04%EV -6.93%E -2.96%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 12:35
Betclic (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 33.26%EV -10.43%E -3.91%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.00%EV -11.71%E -5.27%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.75%EV -11.42%E -3.44%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-12 12:34
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -11.10%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 12:35
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -11.10%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 12:35
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -11.10%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 12:34
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.25%EV -11.10%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.05%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-12 12:34
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -11.77%E -4.48%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 12:34
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -12.11%E -4.62%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 12:35
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-12 12:35
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -10.61%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-12 12:34
NetBet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.91%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 40.36%EV -15.68%E -7.40%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.74%EV -14.62%E -4.57%K -6.64%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-12 12:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.80%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.77%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -19.95%E -6.65%K -9.98%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-12 12:35
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.59%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-04-12 12:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%1.3%2026-04-12 12:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%1.3%2026-04-12 12:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.97%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-04-12 12:35
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.18%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-04-12 12:35
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 33.66%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.93%3.2%2026-04-12 12:35