语言:简体中文
Motor Lublin v Legia Warszawa
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Motor Lublin (主队)
预测 25.42%3.93公平赔率
EV -0.868%
优势 -0.222%
Kelly -0.299%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.90
博彩公司预测分布
23.63%25.38%25.41%26.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.553.553.9030.30%28.14%28.17%25.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
Legia Warszawa (客队)
预测 48.66%2.06公平赔率
EV -5.12%
优势 -2.62%
Kelly -5.39%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.95
博彩公司预测分布
47.09%48.67%48.68%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.751.891.901.9557.14%52.82%52.63%51.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 25.92%3.86公平赔率
EV -2.79%
优势 -0.743%
Kelly -1.01%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.75
博彩公司预测分布
25.00%25.95%25.90%27.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.333.543.553.7530.03%28.27%28.17%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Motor Lublin (主队)：25.42%；Legia Warszawa (客队)：48.66%；平局：25.92%。 对于“Motor Lublin (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.93。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.90，期望值为-0.868%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (50 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -0.868%E -0.222%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 18:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.63%EV -2.39%E -0.623%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.84%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.02%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -2.79%E -0.743%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 21:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.97%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 13:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.97%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 13:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.03%EV -7.19%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 08:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -8.04%E -4.25%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -7.19%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 08:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.97%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 21:26 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.97%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 21:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 15:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 15:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -2.79%E -0.743%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.08%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 21:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 01:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 07:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -8.04%E -4.25%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 06:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-01 23:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-01 23:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 21:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 21:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-31 08:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-02 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -11.44%E -6.29%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -14.85%E -8.49%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -12.31%E -3.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.47%EV -9.50%E -5.11%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.40%EV -7.97%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.03%EV -13.39%E -7.52%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.71%EV -8.04%E -4.25%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-02 01:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-02 01:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-03 21:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.38%EV -10.47%E -5.69%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.44%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.03%EV -11.44%E -6.29%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.25%EV -13.67%E -4.11%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -14.85%E -4.43%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -16.12%E -4.88%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.50%E -5.11%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -16.12%E -4.88%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.50%E -5.11%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -16.12%E -4.88%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-03 09:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -16.12%E -4.88%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-03 09:49 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.97% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.87% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |