StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Motor Lublin v Legia Warszawa

Matchstart: 2026-09-05 18:16 UTC

Slutresultat: Motor Lublin 2–3 Legia Warszawa

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

50 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Motor Lublin (Hemma)

Prognos 25.42%3.93rättvist odds
EV -0.868%
Fördel -0.222%
Kelly -0.299%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.63%25.38%25.41%26.80%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.553.553.9030.30%28.14%28.17%25.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Legia Warszawa (Borta)

Prognos 48.66%2.06rättvist odds
EV -5.12%
Fördel -2.62%
Kelly -5.39%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.95

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
47.09%48.67%48.68%50.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.751.891.901.9557.14%52.82%52.63%51.28%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.92%3.86rättvist odds
EV -2.79%
Fördel -0.743%
Kelly -1.01%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.00%25.95%25.90%27.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.333.543.553.7530.03%28.27%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Motor Lublin (Hemma): 25.42%; Legia Warszawa (Borta): 48.66%; Oavgjort: 25.92%. För Motor Lublin (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.93. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.90, med väntevärdet -0.868%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (50 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -0.868%E -0.222%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 18:19
Pinnacle🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 24.63%EV -2.39%E -0.623%K -0.843%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.84%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 21:30
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.02%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -2.79%E -0.743%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 21:20
BetOnline.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.97%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 13:15
LowVig.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.97%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 13:14
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 18:15
1xBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.03%EV -7.19%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 08:30
Marathon Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -8.04%E -4.25%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -7.19%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 08:25
Bovada🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.97%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 21:26
BetUS🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.97%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 21:20
DraftKings🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 07:10
NordicBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 15:54
Betsson🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -2.79%E -0.743%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 07:15
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.08%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 21:19
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 01:05
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 07:30
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -8.04%E -4.25%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 06:40
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 15:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 15:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 15:40
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 23:30
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 23:30
Grosvenor🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 09:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 09:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 09:50
Casumo🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 09:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 09:50
betPARX🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 09:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 09:50
Unibet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 09:50
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 21:20
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 21:19
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 08:30
Codere (IT)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-02 16:00
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -11.44%E -6.29%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-03 18:20
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -14.85%E -8.49%K -19.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-31 21:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -12.31%E -3.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.47%EV -9.50%E -5.11%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.40%EV -7.97%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-03 17:10
NetBet (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.03%EV -13.39%E -7.52%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-04 07:15
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.71%EV -8.04%E -4.25%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-03 09:50
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-02 01:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-02 01:10
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-03 21:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.38%EV -10.47%E -5.69%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.44%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.03%EV -11.44%E -6.29%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.25%EV -13.67%E -4.11%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-04 07:10
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -14.85%E -4.43%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-03 09:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -16.12%E -4.88%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.50%E -5.11%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-03 09:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -16.12%E -4.88%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.50%E -5.11%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-03 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -16.12%E -4.88%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-03 09:49
PMU (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -16.12%E -4.88%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-03 09:49
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎3.85I 25.97%NM 24.97%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%4.0%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%5.6%2026-09-04 07:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%5.6%2026-09-04 07:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%5.6%2026-09-04 07:20
Smarkets◎3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.87%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%6.6%2026-09-04 07:40