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Motor Lublin v Legia Warszawa
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Motor Lublin (Хозяева)
Прогноз 25.42%3.93справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.868%
Преимущество -0.222%
Kelly -0.299%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.90
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.63%25.38%25.41%26.80%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.553.553.9030.30%28.14%28.17%25.64%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Legia Warszawa (Гости)
Прогноз 48.66%2.06справедливый коэффициент
EV -5.12%
Преимущество -2.62%
Kelly -5.39%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.95
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
47.09%48.67%48.68%50.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.751.891.901.9557.14%52.82%52.63%51.28%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 25.92%3.86справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.79%
Преимущество -0.743%
Kelly -1.01%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.75
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.00%25.95%25.90%27.10%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.333.543.553.7530.03%28.27%28.17%26.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Motor Lublin (Хозяева): 25.42%; Legia Warszawa (Гости): 48.66%; Ничья: 25.92%. Для исхода «Motor Lublin (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.93. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.90, математическое ожидание — -0.868%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (50 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -0.868%E -0.222%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 18:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.63%EV -2.39%E -0.623%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.84%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.02%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -2.79%E -0.743%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 21:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.97%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 13:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.97%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 13:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.03%EV -7.19%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 08:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -8.04%E -4.25%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -7.19%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 08:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.97%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 21:26 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.97%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 21:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 15:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 15:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -2.79%E -0.743%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.08%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 21:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 01:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 07:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -8.04%E -4.25%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 06:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-01 23:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-01 23:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 21:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 21:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-31 08:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-02 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -11.44%E -6.29%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -14.85%E -8.49%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -12.31%E -3.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.47%EV -9.50%E -5.11%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.40%EV -7.97%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.03%EV -13.39%E -7.52%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.71%EV -8.04%E -4.25%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-02 01:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-02 01:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-03 21:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.38%EV -10.47%E -5.69%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.44%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.03%EV -11.44%E -6.29%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.25%EV -13.67%E -4.11%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -14.85%E -4.43%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -16.12%E -4.88%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.50%E -5.11%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -16.12%E -4.88%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.50%E -5.11%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -16.12%E -4.88%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-03 09:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -16.12%E -4.88%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-03 09:49 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.97% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.87% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |