Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Motor Lublin v Legia Warszawa

Inizio: 2026-09-05 18:16 UTC

Finale: Motor Lublin 2–3 Legia Warszawa

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

50 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Motor Lublin (Casa)

Previsione 25.42%3.93quota equa
EV -0.868%
Vantaggio -0.222%
Kelly -0.299%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.63%25.38%25.41%26.80%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.553.553.9030.30%28.14%28.17%25.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Legia Warszawa (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.66%2.06quota equa
EV -5.12%
Vantaggio -2.62%
Kelly -5.39%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.09%48.67%48.68%50.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.891.901.9557.14%52.82%52.63%51.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.92%3.86quota equa
EV -2.79%
Vantaggio -0.743%
Kelly -1.01%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.00%25.95%25.90%27.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.333.543.553.7530.03%28.27%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Motor Lublin (Casa): 25.42%; Legia Warszawa (Trasferta): 48.66%; Pareggio: 25.92%. Per Motor Lublin (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.93. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.90, con un valore atteso del -0.868%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -0.868%E -0.222%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 18:19
Pinnacle🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 24.63%EV -2.39%E -0.623%K -0.843%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.84%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 21:30
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.02%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -2.79%E -0.743%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 21:20
BetOnline.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.97%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 13:15
LowVig.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.97%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 13:14
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 18:15
1xBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.03%EV -7.19%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 08:30
Marathon Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -8.04%E -4.25%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -7.19%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 08:25
Bovada🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.97%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 21:26
BetUS🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.97%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 21:20
DraftKings🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 07:10
NordicBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 15:54
Betsson🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -2.79%E -0.743%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 07:15
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.08%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 21:19
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 01:05
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 07:30
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -8.04%E -4.25%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 06:40
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 15:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 15:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 15:40
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 23:30
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 23:30
Grosvenor🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 09:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 09:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 09:50
Casumo🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 09:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 09:50
betPARX🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 09:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 09:50
Unibet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 09:50
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 21:20
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 21:19
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 08:30
Codere (IT)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-02 16:00
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -11.44%E -6.29%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-03 18:20
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -14.85%E -8.49%K -19.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-31 21:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -12.31%E -3.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.47%EV -9.50%E -5.11%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.40%EV -7.97%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-03 17:10
NetBet (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.03%EV -13.39%E -7.52%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-04 07:15
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.71%EV -8.04%E -4.25%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-03 09:50
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-02 01:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-02 01:10
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-03 21:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.38%EV -10.47%E -5.69%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.44%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.03%EV -11.44%E -6.29%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.25%EV -13.67%E -4.11%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-04 07:10
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -14.85%E -4.43%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-03 09:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -16.12%E -4.88%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.50%E -5.11%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-03 09:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -16.12%E -4.88%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.50%E -5.11%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-03 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -16.12%E -4.88%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-03 09:49
PMU (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -16.12%E -4.88%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-03 09:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎3.85I 25.97%NM 24.97%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%4.0%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%5.6%2026-09-04 07:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%5.6%2026-09-04 07:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%5.6%2026-09-04 07:20
Smarkets◎3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.87%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%6.6%2026-09-04 07:40