Język:Polski
Motor Lublin v Legia Warszawa
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Motor Lublin (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 25.42%3.93kurs godziwy
EV -0.868%
Przewaga -0.222%
Kelly -0.299%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.90
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.63%25.38%25.41%26.80%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.303.553.553.9030.30%28.14%28.17%25.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Legia Warszawa (Goście)
Prognoza 48.66%2.06kurs godziwy
EV -5.12%
Przewaga -2.62%
Kelly -5.39%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.95
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
47.09%48.67%48.68%50.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.751.891.901.9557.14%52.82%52.63%51.28%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 25.92%3.86kurs godziwy
EV -2.79%
Przewaga -0.743%
Kelly -1.01%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.75
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.00%25.95%25.90%27.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.333.543.553.7530.03%28.27%28.17%26.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Motor Lublin (Gospodarze): 25.42%; Legia Warszawa (Goście): 48.66%; Remis: 25.92%. Dla wyniku Motor Lublin (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.93. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 3.90, przy wartości oczekiwanej -0.868%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.
Kursy bukmacherskie (50 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -0.868%E -0.222%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 18:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.63%EV -2.39%E -0.623%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.84%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.02%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -2.79%E -0.743%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 21:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.97%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 13:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.97%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 13:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.03%EV -7.19%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 08:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -8.04%E -4.25%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -7.19%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 08:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.97%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 21:26 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.97%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 21:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 15:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 15:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -2.79%E -0.743%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.08%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 21:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 01:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 07:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -8.04%E -4.25%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 06:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-01 23:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-01 23:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 21:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 21:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-31 08:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-02 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -11.44%E -6.29%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -14.85%E -8.49%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -12.31%E -3.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.47%EV -9.50%E -5.11%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.40%EV -7.97%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.03%EV -13.39%E -7.52%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.71%EV -8.04%E -4.25%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-02 01:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-02 01:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-03 21:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.38%EV -10.47%E -5.69%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.44%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.03%EV -11.44%E -6.29%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.25%EV -13.67%E -4.11%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -14.85%E -4.43%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -16.12%E -4.88%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.50%E -5.11%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -16.12%E -4.88%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.50%E -5.11%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -16.12%E -4.88%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-03 09:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -16.12%E -4.88%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-03 09:49 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (5)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.97% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.87% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |