Language:English
Motor Lublin v Jagiellonia Białystok
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Motor Lublin (Local)
Prediction 34.05%2.94fair odd
EV +4.53%
Edge +1.48%
Kelly +2.19%
Growth +0.099%
assuming max odds 3.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.94%34.07%34.13%34.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.692.703.0740.00%37.17%37.04%32.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jagiellonia Białystok (Visit)
Prediction 39.43%2.54fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -2.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%39.42%39.40%42.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.342.352.4546.51%42.82%42.55%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.52%3.77fair odd
EV -0.540%
Edge -0.144%
Kelly -0.197%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.83%26.52%26.47%27.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.483.503.7530.77%28.71%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Motor Lublin (Local): 34.05%; Jagiellonia Białystok (Visit): 39.43%; Draw: 26.52%. For Motor Lublin (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.07, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.53%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.94%EV +4.53%E +1.48%K +2.19%G +0.099% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.84%EV -6.11%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.34%EV -1.25%E -0.432%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.79%EV -4.19%E -1.73%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-31 14:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.34%EV -1.25%E -0.432%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.79%EV -4.19%E -1.73%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-31 14:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.34%EV -1.25%E -0.432%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.79%EV -4.19%E -1.73%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-31 14:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.28%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.32%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.39%EV -3.19%E -0.875%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -4.66%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-31 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -6.36%E -2.31%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -0.540%E -0.144%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-31 14:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.36%E -2.31%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-31 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.36%E -2.31%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-31 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.36%E -2.31%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-31 14:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.36%E -2.31%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-31 18:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -7.38%E -2.71%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-31 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -7.38%E -2.71%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-31 14:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-31 18:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-31 18:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 18:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-31 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.24%EV -6.95%E -2.95%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-31 18:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-31 18:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.94%EV -6.95%E -2.95%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-31 14:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.23%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -5.84%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-31 18:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-31 14:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-31 18:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-31 18:08 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.72%EV -10.45%E -3.97%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.19%EV -8.13%E -3.49%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.72%EV -10.45%E -3.97%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.19%EV -8.13%E -3.49%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -10.45%E -3.97%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -10.45%E -3.97%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-31 17:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.79%E -4.12%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-31 14:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.79%E -4.12%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-31 18:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.79%E -4.12%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-31 18:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.79%E -4.12%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-31 17:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-31 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-31 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-31 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-31 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-31 18:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-31 18:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.80%EV -12.49%E -4.86%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.48%EV -13.26%E -6.03%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.72%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-07-31 18:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.68%EV -13.17%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -14.87%E -5.95%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -15.23%E -7.08%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-07-31 14:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.03% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.6% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.03% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.6% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.03% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.6% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.03% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.6% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.13% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.31% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.56% | 1.7% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.28% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-07-31 18:05 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.