The School of Odds

Motor Lublin v Jagiellonia Białystok

2026-07-31 18:30 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Motor Lublin (Local)

Prediction 31.84%3.14fair odd
EV -4.79%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -2.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.17%32.06%31.80%33.39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.602.842.852.9938.46%35.26%35.09%33.44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Jagiellonia Białystok (Visit)

Prediction 40.99%2.44fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -2.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.99%40.89%41.04%41.56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.052.232.252.3548.78%44.78%44.44%42.55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.17%3.68fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -0.608%
Kelly -0.842%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.89%27.04%27.17%28.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.153.383.403.6031.75%29.60%29.41%27.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle2.99I 33.44%NM 31.72%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.41%EV -6.14%E -2.68%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.87%EV -4.09%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 18:45
LowVig.ag2.96I 33.78%NM 31.32%EV -5.74%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.01%EV -7.37%E -3.26%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 18:30
BetOnline.ag2.96I 33.78%NM 31.32%EV -5.74%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.01%EV -7.37%E -3.26%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 18:30
1xBet2.94I 34.01%NM 31.69%EV -6.38%E -2.17%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.23%EV -7.37%E -3.26%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.08%EV -6.54%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 18:35
Marathon Bet2.93I 34.13%NM 31.65%EV -6.70%E -2.29%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.40%EV -8.19%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.96%EV -6.54%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 18:30
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.55%EV -7.02%E -2.40%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.95%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 16:49
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.55%EV -7.02%E -2.40%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.95%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 16:50
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 16:31
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 18:15
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 16:50
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 16:45
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 16:45
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 16:45
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -9.25%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -3.68%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -2.19%E -0.608%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 15:55
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -9.25%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -2.19%E -0.608%K -0.842%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 18:20
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -9.25%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -9.83%E -4.47%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 18:20
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.19%E -0.608%K -0.842%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 15:55
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -13.93%E -6.63%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.93%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-26 16:50
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 15:55
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 15:55
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 18:30
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.88%E -5.53%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-26 16:50
Betclic (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.35%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 41.45%EV -14.75%E -7.09%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 27.20%EV -13.87%E -4.38%K -6.39%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-26 16:50
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.83%E -4.47%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.83%E -4.47%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 18:15
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 31.91%EV -15.61%E -5.89%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.25%EV -15.98%E -7.79%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.84%EV -14.41%E -4.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%18.3%2026-07-26 16:50
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 33.23%EV -17.21%E -6.62%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.19%EV -11.88%E -5.53%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.58%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%15.7%2026-07-26 15:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.