Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 3.07
avec la cote maximale 2.45
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Motor Lublin (Local) : 34.05% ; Jagiellonia Białystok (Visiteur) : 39.43% ; Match nul : 26.52%. Pour Motor Lublin (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.94. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.07, soit une espérance positive de +4.53%.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.94%EV +4.53%E +1.48%K +2.19%G +0.099% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.84%EV -6.11%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.34%EV -1.25%E -0.432%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.79%EV -4.19%E -1.73%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-31 14:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.34%EV -1.25%E -0.432%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.79%EV -4.19%E -1.73%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-31 14:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.34%EV -1.25%E -0.432%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.79%EV -4.19%E -1.73%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-31 14:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.28%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.32%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.39%EV -3.19%E -0.875%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -4.66%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-31 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -6.36%E -2.31%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -0.540%E -0.144%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-31 14:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.36%E -2.31%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-31 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.36%E -2.31%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-31 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.36%E -2.31%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-31 14:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.36%E -2.31%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-31 18:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -7.38%E -2.71%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-31 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -7.38%E -2.71%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-31 14:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-31 18:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-31 18:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 18:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-31 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.24%EV -6.95%E -2.95%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-31 18:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-31 18:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.94%EV -6.95%E -2.95%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-31 14:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.23%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -5.84%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-31 18:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-31 14:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-31 18:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-31 18:08 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.72%EV -10.45%E -3.97%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.19%EV -8.13%E -3.49%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.72%EV -10.45%E -3.97%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.19%EV -8.13%E -3.49%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -10.45%E -3.97%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -10.45%E -3.97%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-31 17:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.79%E -4.12%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-31 14:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.79%E -4.12%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-31 18:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.79%E -4.12%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-31 18:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.79%E -4.12%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-31 17:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-31 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-31 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-31 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-31 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-31 18:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-31 18:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.80%EV -12.49%E -4.86%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.48%EV -13.26%E -6.03%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.72%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-07-31 18:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.68%EV -13.17%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -14.87%E -5.95%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -15.23%E -7.08%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-07-31 14:19 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.03% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.6% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.03% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.6% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.03% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.6% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.03% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.6% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.13% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.31% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.56% | 1.7% | 2026-07-31 18:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.28% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-07-31 18:05 |