A Escola das Odds

Motor Lublin v Jagiellonia Białystok

2026-07-31 18:30 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Frente a frente

28 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Motor Lublin (Local)

Previsão 31.84%3.14odd justa
EV -4.79%
Vantagem -1.60%
Kelly -2.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.99

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.17%32.06%31.80%33.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.832.852.9938.46%35.28%35.09%33.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jagiellonia Białystok (Visitante)

Previsão 40.99%2.44odd justa
EV -3.68%
Vantagem -1.57%
Kelly -2.73%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.99%40.89%41.04%41.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.242.252.3548.78%44.74%44.44%42.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.17%3.68odd justa
EV -2.19%
Vantagem -0.608%
Kelly -0.842%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.89%27.04%27.17%28.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.153.393.403.6031.75%29.53%29.41%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (28 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.99I 33.44%NM 31.72%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.41%EV -6.14%E -2.68%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.87%EV -4.09%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 18:45
LowVig.ag2.96I 33.78%NM 31.32%EV -5.74%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.01%EV -7.37%E -3.26%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 18:30
BetOnline.ag2.96I 33.78%NM 31.32%EV -5.74%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.01%EV -7.37%E -3.26%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 18:30
1xBet2.94I 34.01%NM 31.69%EV -6.38%E -2.17%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.23%EV -7.37%E -3.26%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.08%EV -6.54%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 18:35
Marathon Bet2.93I 34.13%NM 31.65%EV -6.70%E -2.29%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.40%EV -8.19%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.96%EV -6.54%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 18:30
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.55%EV -7.02%E -2.40%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.95%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 16:49
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.55%EV -7.02%E -2.40%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.95%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 16:50
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 16:31
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 18:15
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 16:50
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 16:45
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 16:45
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 16:45
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -9.25%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -3.68%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -2.19%E -0.608%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 15:55
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -9.25%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -2.19%E -0.608%K -0.842%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 18:20
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -9.25%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -9.83%E -4.47%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 18:20
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.19%E -0.608%K -0.842%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.19%E -0.608%K -0.842%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 16:05
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -13.93%E -6.63%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.93%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-26 16:50
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 15:55
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 15:55
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 18:30
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.88%E -5.53%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-26 16:50
Betclic (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.35%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 41.45%EV -14.75%E -7.09%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 27.20%EV -13.87%E -4.38%K -6.39%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-26 16:50
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.83%E -4.47%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.83%E -4.47%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 18:15
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 31.91%EV -15.61%E -5.89%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.25%EV -15.98%E -7.79%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.84%EV -14.41%E -4.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%18.3%2026-07-26 16:50
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 33.23%EV -17.21%E -6.62%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.19%EV -11.88%E -5.53%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.58%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%15.7%2026-07-26 15:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.