StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Motor Lublin v Jagiellonia Białystok

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-31 18:30 UTC

Endstand: Motor Lublin 1–2 Jagiellonia Białystok

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

53 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Motor Lublin (Heim)

Prognose 34.05%2.94faire Quote
EV +4.53%
Vorteil +1.48%
Kelly +2.19%
Wachstum +0.099%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.07

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
30.94%34.07%34.13%34.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.502.692.703.0740.00%37.17%37.04%32.57%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Jagiellonia Białystok (Auswärts)

Prognose 39.43%2.54faire Quote
EV -3.40%
Vorteil -1.39%
Kelly -2.35%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.45

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
38.42%39.42%39.40%42.22%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.152.342.352.4546.51%42.82%42.55%40.82%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 26.52%3.77faire Quote
EV -0.540%
Vorteil -0.144%
Kelly -0.197%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
24.83%26.52%26.47%27.71%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.253.483.503.7530.77%28.71%28.57%26.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Motor Lublin (Heim): 34.05%; Jagiellonia Białystok (Auswärts): 39.43%; Unentschieden: 26.52%. Für Motor Lublin (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.94. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.07 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +4.53%.

Wettanbieterquoten (53 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 30.94%EV +4.53%E +1.48%K +2.19%G +0.099%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.84%EV -6.11%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.34%EV -1.25%E -0.432%K -0.660%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.79%EV -4.19%E -1.73%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-31 14:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.34%EV -1.25%E -0.432%K -0.660%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.79%EV -4.19%E -1.73%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-31 14:19
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.34%EV -1.25%E -0.432%K -0.660%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.79%EV -4.19%E -1.73%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-31 14:25
Pinnacle🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.28%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.32%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.39%EV -3.19%E -0.875%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 18:25
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -4.66%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 14:00
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -6.36%E -2.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -0.540%E -0.144%K -0.197%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 14:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.36%E -2.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-31 14:50
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.36%E -2.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-31 17:40
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.36%E -2.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-31 14:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.36%E -2.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-31 18:05
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -7.38%E -2.71%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-31 14:50
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -7.38%E -2.71%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-31 14:49
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-31 18:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-31 18:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-31 18:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-31 18:25
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 18:25
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 18:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 18:24
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 18:25
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 18:25
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-31 18:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.24%EV -6.95%E -2.95%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 18:24
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-31 18:24
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.94%EV -6.95%E -2.95%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-31 14:54
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-31 18:25
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-31 18:20
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-31 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-31 18:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-31 18:25
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.23%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -5.84%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-31 18:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-31 14:49
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-31 18:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-31 18:08
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.72%EV -10.45%E -3.97%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.19%EV -8.13%E -3.49%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-31 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.72%EV -10.45%E -3.97%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.19%EV -8.13%E -3.49%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-31 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -10.45%E -3.97%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-31 18:20
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -10.45%E -3.97%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-31 17:40
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.79%E -4.12%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-31 14:20
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.79%E -4.12%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-31 18:14
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.79%E -4.12%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-31 18:14
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.79%E -4.12%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-31 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-31 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-31 18:25
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-31 17:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-31 14:50
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-31 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-31 18:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-31 18:04
NetBet (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 33.80%EV -12.49%E -4.86%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.48%EV -13.26%E -6.03%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.72%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-31 18:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.68%EV -13.17%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-31 18:25
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -14.87%E -5.95%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -15.23%E -7.08%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-31 14:19
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.03%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-07-31 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.03%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-07-31 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.03%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-07-31 18:25
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 34.03%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-07-31 18:20
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 34.13%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.31%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.56%1.7%2026-07-31 18:25
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.28%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-07-31 18:05