Language:English
Motor Lublin v Górnik Zabrze
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Motor Lublin (Local)
Prediction 32.18%3.11fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -0.934%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.84%32.16%32.21%33.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.812.803.0238.46%35.55%35.71%33.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Górnik Zabrze (Visit)
Prediction 40.26%2.48fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.726%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.66%40.26%40.29%41.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.292.292.4448.78%43.64%43.67%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.56%3.63fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.67%27.59%27.49%28.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.303.303.5033.33%30.27%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Motor Lublin (Local): 32.18%; Górnik Zabrze (Visit): 40.26%; Draw: 27.56%. For Górnik Zabrze (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.48. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.44, with an expected value of -1.77%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.86%EV -2.82%E -0.934%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.06%EV -8.62%E -3.80%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.07%EV -8.49%E -2.56%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 11:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.24%EV -1.77%E -0.726%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.84%EV -8.49%E -2.56%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 11:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.24%EV -1.77%E -0.726%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.84%EV -8.49%E -2.56%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 11:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.01%EV -9.02%E -3.99%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 11:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 10:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.40%E -2.30%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 10:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.40%E -2.30%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 11:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 11:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 10:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 10:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 10:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -11.43%E -5.20%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-08 09:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.32%E -2.54%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 10:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.79%EV -7.65%E -2.66%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 11:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.29%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 07:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.71%EV -9.26%E -3.28%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.76%EV -6.60%E -2.85%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 10:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.71%EV -9.26%E -3.28%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.76%EV -6.60%E -2.85%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 10:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -2.17%E -0.895%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -2.17%E -0.895%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -2.17%E -0.895%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -2.17%E -0.895%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 10:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 10:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 10:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 10:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 06:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 06:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -4.19%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 10:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-08 10:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-08 10:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -15.46%E -7.36%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-08 09:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.19%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 06:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-08 11:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 10:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 10:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 11:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.43%E -5.20%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 07:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.43%E -5.20%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 07:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -15.46%E -7.36%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -17.31%E -5.77%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-03-08 11:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 32.34%EV -12.15%E -4.45%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.50%EV -12.24%E -5.61%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-08 10:48 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -13.12%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -5.40%E -2.30%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 10:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -13.12%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -5.40%E -2.30%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 10:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -13.12%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.86%EV -6.60%E -2.85%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-08 10:34 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -13.12%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.52%EV -13.45%E -6.25%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-08 10:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.04%EV -14.08%E -5.27%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 40.36%EV -14.65%E -6.91%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -14.55%E -4.69%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-03-08 11:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.44%EV -14.73%E -5.56%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -8.21%E -3.60%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-08 10:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.25%EV -14.73%E -5.56%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.05%EV -11.43%E -5.20%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-08 10:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 31.90%EV -16.33%E -6.28%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.46%EV -17.47%E -8.52%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.65%EV -17.31%E -5.77%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 20.6% | 2026-03-08 11:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 11:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 11:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 11:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 11:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.56% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.50% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.94% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 11:09 |