مدرسة الاحتمالات

Motor Lublin v Górnik Zabrze

البداية: 2026-03-08 11:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Motor Lublin (المضيف)

التنبؤ 32.18%3.11السعر العادل
EV -2.82%
الأفضلية -0.934%
Kelly -1.40%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.02

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.84%32.16%32.21%33.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.602.812.803.0238.46%35.55%35.71%33.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Górnik Zabrze (الضيف)

التنبؤ 40.26%2.48السعر العادل
EV -1.77%
الأفضلية -0.726%
Kelly -1.23%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.44

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.66%40.26%40.29%41.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.292.292.4448.78%43.64%43.67%40.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.56%3.63السعر العادل
EV -3.53%
الأفضلية -1.01%
Kelly -1.41%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.67%27.59%27.49%28.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.303.303.5033.33%30.27%30.30%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet3.02I 33.11%NM 30.86%EV -2.82%E -0.934%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.06%EV -8.62%E -3.80%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.07%EV -8.49%E -2.56%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 11:04
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.24%EV -1.77%E -0.726%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.84%EV -8.49%E -2.56%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 11:10
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.24%EV -1.77%E -0.726%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.84%EV -8.49%E -2.56%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 11:09
Marathon Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.01%EV -9.02%E -3.99%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 11:10
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 10:00
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.40%E -2.30%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 10:49
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.40%E -2.30%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 11:09
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 11:09
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 10:34
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 10:35
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 10:34
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -11.43%E -5.20%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-08 09:19
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.32%E -2.54%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 10:49
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 31.79%EV -7.65%E -2.66%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 11:09
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.29%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 07:24
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.71%EV -9.26%E -3.28%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.76%EV -6.60%E -2.85%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 10:49
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.71%EV -9.26%E -3.28%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.76%EV -6.60%E -2.85%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 10:49
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -2.17%E -0.895%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 10:29
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -2.17%E -0.895%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 10:29
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -2.17%E -0.895%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 10:30
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -2.17%E -0.895%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 10:34
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 10:35
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 10:35
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 10:35
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 06:44
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 06:44
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -4.19%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 10:34
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 10:49
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 10:29
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-08 10:59
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -15.46%E -7.36%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-08 09:20
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.19%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 06:44
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 11:09
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 10:49
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 10:50
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 11:09
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.43%E -5.20%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 07:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.43%E -5.20%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 07:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -15.46%E -7.36%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -17.31%E -5.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-08 11:04
Betclic (FR)2.73I 36.63%NM 32.34%EV -12.15%E -4.45%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.50%EV -12.24%E -5.61%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-08 10:48
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -13.12%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -5.40%E -2.30%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 10:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -13.12%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -5.40%E -2.30%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 10:34
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -13.12%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.86%EV -6.60%E -2.85%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-08 10:34
Parions Sport (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -13.12%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.52%EV -13.45%E -6.25%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-08 10:49
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 32.04%EV -14.08%E -5.27%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 40.36%EV -14.65%E -6.91%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -14.55%E -4.69%K -6.93%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-08 11:04
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 33.44%EV -14.73%E -5.56%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -8.21%E -3.60%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-08 10:34
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.25%EV -14.73%E -5.56%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.05%EV -11.43%E -5.20%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-08 10:49
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 31.90%EV -16.33%E -6.28%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 40.46%EV -17.47%E -8.52%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.65%EV -17.31%E -5.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%20.6%2026-03-08 11:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-03-08 11:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-03-08 11:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-03-08 11:05
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-03-08 11:05
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%1.0%2026-03-08 11:00
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 32.56%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.94%3.8%2026-03-08 11:09